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166

158: Twitastrophe

2022-11-13 · 1:20:55

00:00SPEAKER- Brad, I made an old man purchase the other day.

00:03SPEAKER- Wait, you know.

00:04SPEAKER- This is shocking, I know.

00:06SPEAKER- What you got?

00:08SPEAKER- I bought, well, okay, so last year,

00:10SPEAKERor earlier this year when we went up to the mountains,

00:12SPEAKERthe place we stayed didn't have like whole house heat.

00:16SPEAKERSo they had a wood-burning stove

00:20SPEAKERin the center of the house that heated up

00:21SPEAKERthe whole downstairs when you were in there

00:22SPEAKERand pumping wood into the stove.

00:23SPEAKERBut when you went to bed, it went dark

00:25SPEAKERand it got cold, and it was really cold up there.

00:27SPEAKERSo they had these heated mattress pads under the bed.

00:31SPEAKERI was like, this is the greatest thing I've ever had.

00:33SPEAKERI got into the bed, it was super cozy.

00:34SPEAKERIt stayed really warm all night.

00:36SPEAKERIt was beautiful, absolutely wonderful.

00:39SPEAKER- You couldn't tell there was wiring in there?

00:42SPEAKER- No, no feeling of wiring whatsoever.

00:45SPEAKERAnd it's not like, I mean, you're thinking about right now

00:49SPEAKERabout like the electric blankets of our youth

00:51SPEAKERthat you get in and it would be like

00:52SPEAKERa thousand degrees under there.

00:54SPEAKERThis is just, this just puts a little bit extra,

00:58SPEAKERlittle bit of, like when it warms up the bed,

01:00SPEAKERyou hit it in the preheat mode

01:01SPEAKERand it toasts up the bed really nicely.

01:03SPEAKERAnd then it cools down.

01:04SPEAKERAnd it's just been a little bit of extra heat in there

01:06SPEAKERfor those nights when you're chilly.

01:09SPEAKER- Does the heat stay in there?

01:11SPEAKER- Well, I mean, that's what the blankets do.

01:12SPEAKERThat's up to the blankets.

01:13SPEAKER- Depends on your bedding, right?

01:14SPEAKER- Yeah, what's your bedding, Sitch?

01:16SPEAKERYou got comfortable in your bed?

01:17SPEAKERWe got to get a new comforter, a new duvet as well.

01:20SPEAKER- Did we talk about this recently?

01:22SPEAKERMy bamboo, oh yeah, we talked about-

01:23SPEAKER- We talked about your bamboo, yeah.

01:25SPEAKER- I need to vent, I need to vent heat.

01:27SPEAKER- Yeah, see, I'm still, I like to keep it in.

01:30SPEAKERI need feathers, I need some sort of blanket on top.

01:34SPEAKERI got the whole thing.

01:35SPEAKERAnyway, it's real cozy and good.

01:37SPEAKERAnd it's really, really hard to get out of bed

01:40SPEAKERin the morning if that thing is like,

01:41SPEAKERif I wake up and I'm a little chilly,

01:44SPEAKERI just roll over and hit the button for a second.

01:46SPEAKERAnd I'm like, oh yeah, it's the stuff right there.

01:48SPEAKER- It's just 'cause you're all mosty toasty in there.

01:50SPEAKER- I am the toastiest mostiest.

01:52SPEAKER- Well, is this an old man purchase?

01:54SPEAKERI need to buy some polyester quilt batting.

01:56SPEAKER- Well, like just naked?

01:59SPEAKER- Our what?

02:00SPEAKERYeah. - Naked batting?

02:01SPEAKER- That's totally a thing.

02:02SPEAKER- Just a sack of batting?

02:03SPEAKER- Okay, have you ever rejuvenated, revitalized,

02:07SPEAKERresurrected couch cushions?

02:08SPEAKER- I have reupholstered things,

02:10SPEAKERbut I don't think I've ever done a couch.

02:12SPEAKER- You ever had a couch long enough

02:13SPEAKERthat the cushions just start to sag,

02:15SPEAKERlike the foam core just starts losing its spring?

02:18SPEAKER- Oh yeah, that's when it's time to get rid of the couch

02:19SPEAKERand get a new one.

02:20SPEAKER- Oh, well, the couch is still in good shape.

02:21SPEAKER- Well, okay, A, the couch is still in good shape,

02:24SPEAKERother than the cushions.

02:25SPEAKERB, I'm sure as hell not buying a new couch

02:28SPEAKERwhen we're teetering on the brink of moving

02:30SPEAKERout of here at some point.

02:32SPEAKER- Yeah, I've kept a couch for way too long

02:34SPEAKERbecause I've been on the teetering of moving.

02:35SPEAKERI'm like, I'm not gonna move this couch.

02:37SPEAKER- I've suspended all major furniture purchases

02:40SPEAKER'cause who the hell wants to buy new furniture

02:42SPEAKERand then immediately move it?

02:43SPEAKER- Yeah, that is a...

02:45SPEAKERSo why don't you just take them to an upholstery shop?

02:46SPEAKERThey'll redo 'em for you.

02:49SPEAKER- That's what Amazon is for now.

02:51SPEAKERWhat if I just spent 60 bucks on some quilt batting

02:54SPEAKERand some spray adhesive and did it myself?

02:56SPEAKER- So the spray adhesive I've done a lot with,

02:58SPEAKER'cause you use that to fix vinyl

03:00SPEAKERwhere it falls off the inside of your car,

03:01SPEAKERand my last car, the vinyl on the doors

03:05SPEAKERkept peeling off for some reason,

03:06SPEAKERso I would spray adhesive of it back on.

03:08SPEAKERThanks, Ford.

03:12SPEAKERThe rebuilding the cushions I've never done,

03:14SPEAKERthat always seemed complicated to me.

03:16SPEAKERJust layer it on, spray it, stick it, shove it, zip it.

03:21SPEAKERGood.

03:22SPEAKER- I feel like you're gonna end up with a lumpy place

03:24SPEAKERfor your butt to go, though.

03:25SPEAKER- Possible, possible.

03:26SPEAKERThe idea is you cram it so full

03:28SPEAKERthat it kind of expands inside the bag and fills it out.

03:32SPEAKER- I think you're firmly into a place

03:34SPEAKERwhere I would trust an expert to do the work

03:36SPEAKERthat I want done if I liked the couch.

03:38SPEAKER- Hmm.

03:38SPEAKER- If I feel like the couch is something I'm keeping longer,

03:41SPEAKERI would pay them to redo it.

03:42SPEAKERAnd if I feel like the couch is on the end of days,

03:47SPEAKERand I just need something to last long enough

03:48SPEAKERfor me to move and buy a new couch,

03:50SPEAKERthen I would probably do it myself.

03:51SPEAKERLet me ask you a further question.

03:53SPEAKERDo you even need a couch?

03:55SPEAKER- What?

03:56SPEAKER- Why not just put a couple of comfortable chairs in there?

03:58SPEAKERGet a recliner, get a fancy gamer chair, I don't care.

04:01SPEAKER- Couple of gamer chairs, living room gamer chairs.

04:04SPEAKER- What about those moon chairs, the tilt back ones,

04:07SPEAKERlike the ones that are zero gravity chairs?

04:09SPEAKER- Oh God, the orbital lounger?

04:10SPEAKER- Yeah.

04:11SPEAKER- Did you ever sit in that thing?

04:12SPEAKER- Yeah, I think it was awesome.

04:13SPEAKER- That thing just took up space in the basement.

04:15SPEAKER- I used to sit in that, and I'd grab my laptop

04:17SPEAKERand sit over there and just do work.

04:18SPEAKERIt was great.

04:19SPEAKER- In Sausalito?

04:20SPEAKER- Yeah, was it in Sausalito, or was it in the-

04:24SPEAKER- Yeah, the orbital lounger was downstairs

04:26SPEAKERin the law office.

04:27SPEAKER- Didn't it end up in the engineering corner?

04:30SPEAKERIt was in the dark part of the office, I think.

04:32SPEAKER- Did it get moved to Front Street?

04:33SPEAKER- I think it got moved to Front Street,

04:34SPEAKER'cause that's where I sat, and I never came back.

04:36SPEAKERWe weren't allowed downstairs when we were in Sausalito.

04:38SPEAKERYou guys, only for podcasts, you guys were too cool.

04:41SPEAKER- Wait, what?

04:41SPEAKER- Yeah, I was afraid, I was afraid.

04:44SPEAKERI was like, I don't want to bother the giant bomb guys.

04:46SPEAKERThey're too cool.

04:47SPEAKER- That's right, we're big, important, yeah.

04:50SPEAKER- Yeah, big, important internet people.

04:52SPEAKERBut no, who says, what law said we have to have a couch

04:57SPEAKERand a couple of chairs and a coffee table in your living?

04:59SPEAKERYou could have four chairs, I don't care.

05:01SPEAKER- Look, I can't lie across four chairs

05:03SPEAKERthe way that I can lie across one couch.

05:05SPEAKER- That's why you get a recliner.

05:06SPEAKERThen you just pop, bum, bum, full recline.

05:09SPEAKER- Look, man, my living room, my business.

05:12SPEAKER(upbeat music)

05:39SPEAKER- Welcome to Brad and Will Made a Tech Pod.

05:41SPEAKERI'm Will.

05:42SPEAKER- I'm Brad, hello.

05:43SPEAKERI don't know which tech catastrophe to pick from

05:46SPEAKERto talk about this week, although we have pre-chosen.

05:48SPEAKERBut I just wanted to say, boy, there's a lot going on.

05:51SPEAKER- Shout out to FTX, that's what you're saying.

05:53SPEAKER- Dude, like, between the Twitter, okay, hang on.

05:58SPEAKERWe need to go over the term.

06:00SPEAKERTwitterpocalypse is too played, I'm trying to think.

06:01SPEAKER- No, we're not gonna call it Twittergate

06:03SPEAKERor anything stupid like that.

06:04SPEAKERWe're just gonna call it Elon's $44 billion mistake.

06:07SPEAKER- How about this, the twitastrophe?

06:10SPEAKER- Whoopsie.

06:11SPEAKER- Between the Twitter chaos, the midterms,

06:15SPEAKERand now the FTX collapse.

06:18SPEAKER- I'm pretty pleased with the midterms.

06:20SPEAKERI've gotta be honest, that's not really a debacle.

06:21SPEAKERThat worked out as hoped.

06:24SPEAKER- Like that's just shot,

06:25SPEAKERthat's pure schadenfreude at this point.

06:27SPEAKERI'm not saying that's bad.

06:28SPEAKERI'm just saying here are now three extremely chaotic

06:32SPEAKERand like kind of dramatic, wild events

06:35SPEAKERgoing on simultaneously.

06:36SPEAKERAnd bouncing between reading long deep dive articles

06:39SPEAKERon all three of them back and forth

06:41SPEAKERis like making my head spin.

06:43SPEAKER- I mean, first off, we don't usually do current events.

06:46SPEAKERSo this week the Twitter stuff seemed,

06:48SPEAKERand honestly the FTX too had the Twitter stuff not happen,

06:51SPEAKERseems relevant enough.

06:53SPEAKERSo FTX, if you don't know,

06:54SPEAKERis a large crypto trading exchange

06:59SPEAKERthat seemed like it was backed by actual value.

07:02SPEAKERAnd in turns, like most crypto was backed by nothing.

07:06SPEAKERAnd it's collapsing in a most like really visible public way.

07:13SPEAKER- Oh yeah.

07:14SPEAKERWell, but I mean like there's a bunch of like

07:16SPEAKERvery cliched bullet points about it.

07:18SPEAKERLike the type of stuff you would see

07:19SPEAKERon Silicon Valley, the show.

07:20SPEAKER- Yeah, oh yeah.

07:21SPEAKER- Except playing out in real life.

07:23SPEAKERLike the founder is like,

07:24SPEAKERhe might be in his mid thirties now,

07:25SPEAKERbut he might, I think he was like in his twenties

07:27SPEAKERwhen he started it.

07:28SPEAKER- Yep.

07:29SPEAKER- Like giant mop of hair,

07:30SPEAKERlike wears shorts and t-shirts

07:32SPEAKERand sneakers on stage at conferences.

07:33SPEAKER- He allegedly did the original pitch to the Sequoia,

07:40SPEAKERthe venture capital fund that backed him

07:42SPEAKERwhilst playing a game of league of legends.

07:44SPEAKER- Oh yeah.

07:45SPEAKER- And ganking people.

07:46SPEAKER- Like I saw a quote from whoever was a Sequoia

07:49SPEAKERwho talked to him originally

07:50SPEAKERwhen they set the whole thing up,

07:51SPEAKERwho I feel embarrassed for this person.

07:54SPEAKERThey were like, it occurred to me

07:56SPEAKERthat I was speaking to the first future trillionaire.

07:59SPEAKERThat was just like the most breathless nonsense.

08:01SPEAKER- But so anyway.

08:02SPEAKER- Well, real quick, before we move on to the actual topic,

08:05SPEAKERwhich is Twitter,

08:06SPEAKERthey run that thing out of a multimillion dollar penthouse

08:08SPEAKERin the Bahamas, which is a tax haven.

08:10SPEAKER- Of course.

08:11SPEAKER- And there's like 10 of them and they're all super young

08:14SPEAKERand they're apparently all romantically involved

08:15SPEAKERwith each other.

08:16SPEAKERLike they're running this like,

08:17SPEAKERI think FTX was valued at like 36 billion at its height.

08:21SPEAKER- Yeah.

08:22SPEAKER- And it was literally like 10 recent college grad

08:25SPEAKERprogrammers and finance types.

08:27SPEAKER- Perfect.

08:28SPEAKER- On an Island tax haven and now all the money is gone

08:32SPEAKERand also a bunch of it got hacked and stolen.

08:34SPEAKER- It's probably fine.

08:36SPEAKER- Anyway.

08:37SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, look, the contest this week

08:39SPEAKERwas to see who can piss away billions of dollars fastest.

08:41SPEAKERI think in the speed race,

08:43SPEAKERI'm gonna say FTX probably is the winner, right?

08:45SPEAKER- Yeah, I think like in pure financial terms, yes.

08:48SPEAKERI would say that the, what, roughly 15 years of social cache

08:54SPEAKERthat Twitter has built up that is being flushed

08:56SPEAKERdown the toilet and moment by moment

08:58SPEAKERlike that makes it a little fuzzier.

09:00SPEAKERI mean, I think if you're looking at like

09:02SPEAKERwho can destroy the most long-term value in the fast,

09:05SPEAKERlike I didn't know what FTX, I mean, I knew what FTX was,

09:08SPEAKERbut I hadn't paid any attention to it

09:09SPEAKER'cause I don't pay attention to crypto stuff.

09:11SPEAKER- Same.

09:11SPEAKER- Like the Twitter, I knew what Twitter was obviously.

09:13SPEAKER- Yes, yes, that's my point.

09:16SPEAKERTwitter is a cultural institution

09:18SPEAKERthat is rapidly being dismantled, I would say.

09:20SPEAKER- Well, yeah, I mean, the thing about Twitter

09:22SPEAKERis it's always been a, it's been a cultural institution

09:24SPEAKERfrom the beginning almost

09:26SPEAKERand it's always been a shitty business.

09:28SPEAKERLike they've never been able to, like Facebook,

09:30SPEAKERFacebook, there was a point where you're like,

09:31SPEAKERthey don't really like money on Facebook.

09:32SPEAKERI have no idea how this works.

09:34SPEAKERBut then all of a sudden out of nowhere,

09:36SPEAKERFacebook started making billions of dollars

09:38SPEAKERand they're like, we're just gonna be able

09:39SPEAKERto let you advertise to specific people, right?

09:42SPEAKERAnd I don't mean like a class of people.

09:45SPEAKERI mean, like if you wanna advertise to a guy

09:47SPEAKERwho's 47 years old and lives in Pacifica, California

09:49SPEAKERand wears glasses, they can probably find me, right?

09:52SPEAKER- Right, or even more to the point,

09:55SPEAKERif you wanna, if you're a seller of mattress pads

09:58SPEAKERand you want to advertise exclusively to people

10:00SPEAKERwho our algorithms tell us are actively

10:03SPEAKERin the process of looking for a mattress pad, here you go.

10:07SPEAKER- Well, whereas Twitter, when you'd buy ads on Twitter,

10:09SPEAKERif you got too specific, like this is a game

10:12SPEAKERI like to play when I'm in the ad buying setup

10:14SPEAKERand anybody can make an ad account and do this.

10:17SPEAKERI like to see if I can find myself, right?

10:19SPEAKEROr find my parents.

10:20SPEAKERAnd when you get too specific on Twitter,

10:23SPEAKERthey're like, hey, that's too specific.

10:24SPEAKERWe don't let you advertise to that few a number of people.

10:27SPEAKERSo-- - Can anybody

10:28SPEAKERjust access this interface?

10:29SPEAKER- You have to agree with terms of service

10:31SPEAKERin a contract probably.

10:33SPEAKER- Huh, okay.

10:35SPEAKER- But yeah, anybody can access those interviews.

10:36SPEAKERIt turns out they wanna, they'll say if you wanna buy ads,

10:38SPEAKERthey're willing to sell ads to you, it turns out.

10:41SPEAKERSo anyway, earlier this year in January,

10:44SPEAKERMusk bought a bunch of outstanding Twitter stock

10:46SPEAKERat a fairly low price and ended up with about 9%

10:50SPEAKERof the company as one does.

10:52SPEAKER- Was there any, so my memory of this whole,

10:55SPEAKERI think we're gonna like briefly run through

10:57SPEAKERthe absurd timeline of events of last few months and then--

11:02SPEAKER- I think it would be constructive

11:03SPEAKERbecause especially in the last couple of weeks

11:05SPEAKERhave been the kind of weeks where you look up

11:06SPEAKERand you're like, oh yeah, that was a month ago.

11:08SPEAKERAnd then you look at the calendar and you're like,

11:10SPEAKERoh no, that was three days ago.

11:11SPEAKER- Dude, dude, I am having that experience

11:13SPEAKERon the timescale of days, two hours at this point.

11:17SPEAKER- Yeah, it's-- - Like quite literally,

11:18SPEAKERit's like, you know, name any one of the two dozen things

11:22SPEAKERthat's happened since he took over.

11:24SPEAKERAnd like, I can read about that the next day

11:27SPEAKERand think it was a week ago.

11:28SPEAKER- Yeah, it's, I mean, and I think before we do this,

11:32SPEAKERwe should maybe, like, why does Twitter matter?

11:37SPEAKERLike that's, as I was going down this whole thing,

11:39SPEAKERI've been thinking about Twitter a lot

11:41SPEAKERthis last couple of weeks, obviously.

11:44SPEAKERBut like, why does Twitter matter?

11:48SPEAKER- I think the brevity of, the brevity and simplicity

11:51SPEAKERof the posts is still crucial

11:53SPEAKERto why it is such a kind of thought center.

11:56SPEAKER- I also think it's the verified,

11:59SPEAKERthey were early on verification.

12:01SPEAKERAnd as a result, a lot of like everything,

12:05SPEAKERobviously famous people are there,

12:07SPEAKERbut also like government entities are there.

12:10SPEAKERYou know, the Department of Parks

12:11SPEAKERand the, my water board posts stuff on Twitter

12:14SPEAKERwhen they're having problems, you know,

12:17SPEAKERit's one of the ways they notify people of issues.

12:19SPEAKER- Yeah, so like trending topics also were an early component

12:23SPEAKERof exposing people.

12:24SPEAKERI mean, yeah, whatever.

12:25SPEAKERI mean, say what you want about them.

12:26SPEAKERBut like they were an early component of exposing you to,

12:28SPEAKERlike, here's what people are talking about in a very,

12:31SPEAKERlike everything on Twitter is distilled in a way

12:33SPEAKERthat I don't feel like something like Facebook is.

12:36SPEAKER- Yeah, the fact that it has to be short

12:37SPEAKERmeans that people, even if you make a thread,

12:40SPEAKERyou make a list of paragraphs, it's hard to,

12:42SPEAKERit's impossible to do a wall of text on Twitter,

12:45SPEAKERwhich is Facebook with the wall of text

12:47SPEAKERseems to be the default way to communicate

12:48SPEAKERfor a lot of people.

12:49SPEAKER- Right.

12:52SPEAKER- So, okay, so I mean, I think my answer to that question

12:56SPEAKERis probably that it's become a default form of communication

13:00SPEAKERfor a lot of businesses and politicians and celebrities

13:03SPEAKERand musicians and pretty much everybody,

13:05SPEAKERbut the visual artists and the, I mean,

13:07SPEAKERInstagram has taken over some of this, obviously,

13:09SPEAKERover the last few years.

13:10SPEAKERBut also the fact that it was reverse chronological sorted

13:13SPEAKERfor a long time meant that there was no algorithm

13:15SPEAKERinterference in what you saw.

13:17SPEAKERThat's changed, but you can still set it

13:19SPEAKERto be reverse chrono if you want.

13:21SPEAKER- Yeah.

13:22SPEAKER- Anyway.

13:23SPEAKER- Yeah, so what I was gonna say was my memory

13:26SPEAKERof all this stuff really starts in April

13:28SPEAKERwhen he made the ridiculous offer to buy.

13:30SPEAKER- So the first I saw about it was when he bought the stock

13:32SPEAKERand the board got nervous.

13:34SPEAKER- So that's what I'm saying is that in going through

13:37SPEAKERthis timeline, I remembered like, oh yeah,

13:38SPEAKERhe did buy a bunch of stock in January,

13:40SPEAKERbut that's what I was gonna ask was,

13:41SPEAKERwas there any prelude to that?

13:43SPEAKERLike any, you know, bloviating from him or like,

13:47SPEAKERis there any, is there any like awareness

13:49SPEAKERof why he made that initial stock purchase?

13:51SPEAKER'Cause it seems like his, it seems like his, you know,

13:54SPEAKERsoapbox free speech absolutism really didn't super pick up

13:57SPEAKERuntil like March, April when he actually made the offer.

14:00SPEAKER- Okay, so the thing to remember here is that he made,

14:04SPEAKERokay, so Elon Musk's history is that he worked at a company

14:08SPEAKERthat he bought a company that invented money,

14:10SPEAKERbut on the internet, right?

14:11SPEAKERAnd then two years later, three years later,

14:13SPEAKERthey got bought by PayPal or eBay.

14:18SPEAKEROkay, the company he bought got merged with PayPal

14:21SPEAKERand then PayPal got bought by eBay,

14:23SPEAKERbut he ended up, he ended up being, and then he was sacked.

14:26SPEAKERMaybe not exactly in that order.

14:27SPEAKER- Was he sacked after the purchase?

14:29SPEAKER- I think he was sacked just, but just before,

14:31SPEAKERbut he still made money.

14:32SPEAKERI don't know the specifics of that, I don't care.

14:34SPEAKER- Anyway, the eBay acquisition of PayPal

14:36SPEAKERis what gave the world Elon Musk and Peter Thiel,

14:39SPEAKERso thank you for that.

14:39SPEAKER- Yeah, good job eBay.

14:40SPEAKERBut the point is, it's not like Bezos

14:44SPEAKERwhere Bezos had 10 years where everybody's like,

14:46SPEAKERthis Amazon thing is a complete waste of time.

14:47SPEAKERThey're never gonna make money, blah, blah, blah, blah.

14:49SPEAKERAnd he had to maintain the company through that, right?

14:52SPEAKERLike three years is no time in terms of like

14:55SPEAKERhow long you have to keep people working together

14:57SPEAKERand supporting.

14:58SPEAKERSo it's not like it's exceptional management skill

15:01SPEAKERor whatever, it's just, hey, they had enough money

15:03SPEAKERto make it three years and then somebody bought them

15:05SPEAKERfor a shitload of money.

15:07SPEAKERWhen you look at how he's used Twitter

15:09SPEAKERin the post Tesla era, when he bought his way into Tesla,

15:13SPEAKERand then the stuff he's done pumping and dumping stock

15:20SPEAKERand crypto and stuff like that on Twitter

15:22SPEAKERin the last few years, he probably has made more money

15:24SPEAKERon that than he did on PayPal, right?

15:27SPEAKERLike more of his wealth has come from his use of Twitter

15:31SPEAKERto engage an audience to do things that he wants them to do

15:34SPEAKERthat manipulate the price of different assets,

15:39SPEAKERhas made him a shitload of money over the last few years.

15:41SPEAKERSo in that sense, spending half of his fortune

15:44SPEAKERto buy the thing that made him more than half

15:47SPEAKERof that fortune kind of makes sense.

15:50SPEAKER- Sure, his manipulation is not withstanding.

15:52SPEAKERI mean, my understanding is that like

15:54SPEAKERjust by automaker standards, Tesla is like wildly,

15:58SPEAKERwildly overvalued.

15:59SPEAKER- Oh yeah, it's worth more than all the other

16:00SPEAKERU.S. car manufacturers combined.

16:02SPEAKER- Yeah, that's--

16:03SPEAKER- I mean, maybe not now 'cause it's dropped a lot

16:05SPEAKERin the last couple of months, but--

16:06SPEAKER- Yeah, yeah, it's tanked.

16:07SPEAKER- Well, but like compared to when you look

16:11SPEAKERat the number of cars they ship and the value of the stock,

16:13SPEAKERI mean, we're not analysts, whatever.

16:15SPEAKER- Yeah.

16:16SPEAKER- It's wildly overpriced.

16:18SPEAKERAnyway, there's also some legal stuff coming on him.

16:23SPEAKERThere's a criminal probe coming at Tesla

16:26SPEAKERfrom the Department of Justice, I think.

16:27SPEAKERI can't remember about Tesla's auto driving stuff.

16:31SPEAKERSo good news on all fronts for Elon.

16:33SPEAKERAnyway, the point is when he bought 9% of the company,

16:37SPEAKERthe Twitter board looked at how much money he had

16:39SPEAKERand the outstanding number of shares and were like,

16:41SPEAKER"Oh shit, we're a hostile takeover target."

16:43SPEAKERWhich means he would just go start buying stock

16:47SPEAKERon the market until he owned 51% or 50.00001%

16:52SPEAKERand then he would sack everybody on the board.

16:54SPEAKERSo they did a poison pill clause.

16:56SPEAKERAnd what it says is basically that if any one shareholder

16:59SPEAKERgets more than X percentage of the shares,

17:01SPEAKERyou offer all of the shareholders more shares at a discount

17:06SPEAKERthat effectively dilute the shares

17:08SPEAKERheld by the entity doing the takeover.

17:10SPEAKERSo what you do is you let them buy in

17:13SPEAKERand get more shares to maintain the percentage

17:15SPEAKERthat they had while the person

17:19SPEAKERwho is doing the takeover gets nothing.

17:22SPEAKERSo that means that each of their shares

17:23SPEAKERbecomes worth a smaller percentage

17:27SPEAKERas more people buy into the new round.

17:30SPEAKERAnd that's gonna tank your stock price,

17:32SPEAKERbut it means that you'll retain the control of the company,

17:34SPEAKERwhich is the goal.

17:36SPEAKERIt only works if investors think

17:38SPEAKERthat there's something worth buying there.

17:40SPEAKERSo some block of investors would have to have put

17:45SPEAKERenough money in that they actually diluted Elon's shares.

17:51SPEAKERSo when they did this, they also offered him a board seat

17:53SPEAKERin exchange for promising that he wasn't gonna buy

17:55SPEAKERmore than 10% of the outstanding stock,

17:59SPEAKERwhich he accepted and then backed out of almost immediately.

18:03SPEAKER- Kind of seems like a pattern with him.

18:05SPEAKERIt seems like he says yes to a lot of stuff

18:07SPEAKERand then immediately changes his mind.

18:10SPEAKERAnyway. - I started to,

18:11SPEAKERI started to, I don't know if I should,

18:15SPEAKERI don't know if-

18:16SPEAKER- I mean, he listens to podcasts, he might find it,

18:17SPEAKERbut I think he's probably hanging out with Joe Rogan

18:19SPEAKERinstead of us, right?

18:20SPEAKER- I don't know if I should speculate

18:21SPEAKERabout what his drug intake is at this point,

18:24SPEAKERbut it seems probably profound.

18:25SPEAKER- I'm not, I don't think there's,

18:29SPEAKERlook, regardless, the behavior is not,

18:33SPEAKERit's strange behavior.

18:35SPEAKERIf you're a billionaire,

18:36SPEAKERyou can do whatever the fuck you want

18:36SPEAKERand I think he's aware of that.

18:38SPEAKER- So it seems.

18:40SPEAKER- So in April, he made this ridiculous offer

18:42SPEAKERto buy the whole company for $44 billion,

18:45SPEAKERwhich was even a premium at the time.

18:47SPEAKERThe stock was still at like 40 bucks,

18:48SPEAKERtrading at like 35, $40 at that point.

18:50SPEAKER- Yeah, so that was famously $54 and 20 cents a share,

18:54SPEAKERwhich-

18:56SPEAKER- It's the weed number, her, her, her, her.

18:57SPEAKER- Boy, does he really think that 420 is funny, man.

19:00SPEAKERGod, holy shit, this guy is such a fucking moron.

19:03SPEAKERAnyway, so the Ukraine war had been going on

19:10SPEAKERat that point for a little bit.

19:11SPEAKERThe entire market tanked in make

19:13SPEAKERwhen the war didn't stop on schedule.

19:15SPEAKERAnd he tried to back out at that point,

19:17SPEAKERbut Twitter's board was like, no, you're stuck to the deal.

19:20SPEAKERIt's worth pointing out that when he said

19:22SPEAKERthat he was gonna buy the company,

19:23SPEAKERhe was like, let's just make this happen fast.

19:24SPEAKERI waive all rights to diligence, blah, blah, blah, blah.

19:27SPEAKER- I was literally about to ask you when that happened.

19:29SPEAKERWas that it?

19:30SPEAKERWas that right up front at the initial offer?

19:31SPEAKERThat seems like he waived all that stuff?

19:33SPEAKER- I don't know the timing on that, but it was early.

19:36SPEAKER- Pretty early, 'cause that later became a focal point

19:38SPEAKERof his efforts to back out in saying

19:41SPEAKERthat they had not provided sufficient data

19:44SPEAKERon numbers of bot accounts and so forth.

19:46SPEAKERAnd they said, well, you have no entitlement to that

19:49SPEAKERbecause you signed it away.

19:52SPEAKERAnyway.

19:53SPEAKER- That's it.

19:53SPEAKERSo Twitter's board was like, no, dude, you gotta buy

19:56SPEAKERthe company.

19:57SPEAKERAnd when the price of the stock crashed at that point,

20:02SPEAKERA, it's a real, it's kind of a bummer that Twitter's board

20:06SPEAKERwas like, hey, he's offering $10 a share more

20:09SPEAKERthan we're trading at right now.

20:11SPEAKEROur fiduciary duty as, if you don't know,

20:14SPEAKERif you're on the board for a company

20:15SPEAKERor you're the CEO of a company or whatever,

20:17SPEAKERyour goal, you have a legal responsibility

20:21SPEAKERto do what makes money for the company.

20:23SPEAKERIt's one of the hallmarks of American capitalism.

20:25SPEAKERIt's probably bad, just to be clear.

20:27SPEAKERI mean, there's no probably, but it's almost certainly bad.

20:32SPEAKERBut it means that you have to represent the best interests

20:36SPEAKERof the shareholders.

20:37SPEAKERAnd the shareholders looked at this and like,

20:38SPEAKERlook, man, we've been doing this for a long time.

20:40SPEAKERWe have no idea what we can, nothing we can do

20:42SPEAKERis gonna make more money than Elon just buying the company

20:45SPEAKERis a real bummer.

20:47SPEAKER- Everybody who owns stock in this came made out

20:49SPEAKERlike an absolute bandit.

20:50SPEAKER- Yeah.

20:52SPEAKERSo when the stock crashed in May,

20:54SPEAKERhe immediately tried to start getting it.

20:56SPEAKERLike he was, he clearly was in trouble

20:59SPEAKER'cause he was gonna pay an enormous,

21:00SPEAKERhe was already paying a premium for the company.

21:03SPEAKERAnd now he's paying an enormous premium for the company.

21:05SPEAKERWhen this stock is trading at $22 or $32

21:09SPEAKERor something like that, he's gonna make a buttload

21:10SPEAKERof money for everybody that's outstanding.

21:14SPEAKERSo in July, he tried to get out of the deal.

21:17SPEAKERThey had a court date set for October.

21:20SPEAKERDuring this time, there was a lot of discovery

21:22SPEAKERand we got to see a lot of text messages from billionaires.

21:24SPEAKERI don't know if you have any excerpts, Brad, but.

21:27SPEAKER- I've got the document here.

21:29SPEAKER- I have to imagine that his billionaire friends

21:31SPEAKERwere as pissed off about the text being revealed

21:35SPEAKER'cause it's all of the conversations about

21:39SPEAKERwhat he should do with the company

21:40SPEAKERand how he should manage it and things like that.

21:42SPEAKER- I mean, quite literally there is talk

21:44SPEAKERabout the suspension of the Babylon Bee from Twitter in here.

21:47SPEAKER- Yeah.

21:48SPEAKER- Like this is where it seems to be.

21:49SPEAKER- What's the Babylon Bee, Brad?

21:52SPEAKERIt's an all right news.

21:54SPEAKER- Bad, bad right wing The Onion.

21:57SPEAKER- Okay.

21:59SPEAKERAnyway, you do get the sense from reading.

22:01SPEAKERI mean, there are texts in here between him and his ex-wife

22:03SPEAKERand him and Jack Dorsey and him and one of the co-founders

22:09SPEAKERof Palantir, Joe Rogan, all kinds of people.

22:13SPEAKERAnyway, you really get the sense from reading this stuff

22:15SPEAKERthat he actually is serious about the free speech stuff

22:19SPEAKERor I'm gonna use that term in some sneer force, let's say,

22:24SPEAKERbut like his conception of it,

22:26SPEAKERhe actually believes that stuff.

22:28SPEAKERIt's not like you've been seeing some conspiracy theories

22:32SPEAKERfloating around about how he's trying to destroy

22:34SPEAKERthe digital public square to pave the way for autocracy

22:39SPEAKERor he's cozying up to whatever foreign regime or whatever.

22:41SPEAKERAnd maybe he does have some lizard brain level desire

22:47SPEAKERto do that stuff.

22:48SPEAKERBut I don't think there's some calculated plan

22:51SPEAKERto destroy Twitter here.

22:52SPEAKERI think he actually does.

22:53SPEAKERI think he really does have these shallow ideas

22:55SPEAKERabout this stuff that he claims to.

22:59SPEAKER- It's interesting because, oh, I'm looking up an article

23:03SPEAKERhere so I don't mess up the names.

23:07SPEAKERBut Mike Masnick of Tech Dirt did a series on the,

23:11SPEAKERI'll actually just post the links in the show notes

23:13SPEAKERso people can find them 'cause they're worth reading

23:15SPEAKERif you care about the stuff.

23:16SPEAKERHe actually went through, hey, here's why Twitter

23:20SPEAKERis the one that was good at free speech

23:22SPEAKERof the social networks 'cause most of the other sites

23:25SPEAKERjust ban you for saying things that are unpopular.

23:28SPEAKERWhereas Twitter has spent a fair amount of money and time.

23:31SPEAKERTheir chief legal officer, I guess,

23:34SPEAKERwho was one of the people that was immediately sacked

23:37SPEAKERhad spent a lot of time testifying and fighting

23:40SPEAKERagainst the section 230 reform stuff

23:42SPEAKERand all of the things that made Twitter a haven for speech.

23:47SPEAKERSo anyway, I think the thing that became clear

23:53SPEAKERis that what Musk thinks is free speech

23:55SPEAKERand what is actually free speech as determined

23:57SPEAKERby years of Twitter having to deal with it.

24:04SPEAKERLike, free speech is a hard problem, just to be clear.

24:08SPEAKERThe thing about free speech, and this is a thing

24:10SPEAKERthat people who listen to this show, I assume, know,

24:12SPEAKERis that the First Amendment doesn't protect you,

24:14SPEAKERdoesn't let you say anything to anybody anywhere

24:17SPEAKERon whatever medium you want.

24:19SPEAKERIt just says that the government can't say,

24:21SPEAKERyo, you can't say that.

24:22SPEAKERLike, that's it.

24:24SPEAKERCorporations that host stuff, anybody who's hosted

24:27SPEAKERon the message board is familiar with the phrase,

24:28SPEAKERwell, free speech doesn't exist here.

24:30SPEAKERWhat speech I allow in the message board

24:32SPEAKERis the speech that is what we're gonna have here.

24:37SPEAKERAnd he has the edgelord, I'm a freshman in college

24:40SPEAKERand I just got access to the internet in 1993.

24:42SPEAKERI can say anything I want anywhere.

24:44SPEAKER- That's what I meant about the absolutism

24:46SPEAKERand that is exactly it.

24:47SPEAKERLike, it absolutely feels like a very, very early

24:50SPEAKERsomething awful poster when that forum was dominated

24:53SPEAKERby Bush-era libertarian type view of things.

24:56SPEAKER- Yeah, and so the thing,

25:00SPEAKERMike Masnick wrote a bunch of things.

25:01SPEAKEROne was like the, hey, here's all the stuff

25:04SPEAKERthat Twitter actually does to protect free speech

25:07SPEAKERin a way that Facebook and TikTok and the other companies

25:09SPEAKERthat own social media don't.

25:11SPEAKERBut he also posted this thing that was a speed run

25:14SPEAKERfor content moderation learning curve,

25:16SPEAKERwhich is, again, familiar for everybody

25:18SPEAKERwho ran a message board at some point.

25:20SPEAKERLevel one is, hey, we're the free speech platform,

25:22SPEAKERanything goes.

25:24SPEAKERAnd then the response to that is,

25:26SPEAKERhey boss, we're getting reports that there are

25:28SPEAKERchild sexual exploitation and abuse images

25:30SPEAKERand videos on the site.

25:31SPEAKEROh yeah, we should take that down.

25:33SPEAKERLevel two, we're the free speech platform,

25:35SPEAKERbut no child exploitation.

25:39SPEAKERBoss, there's a huge stack of emails from Hollywood

25:40SPEAKERsaying something about DMCA takedowns.

25:42SPEAKEROh right, copyright infringement is bad, get rid of that.

25:44SPEAKERWe're the free speech platform,

25:46SPEAKERbut no child exploitation and infringement.

25:47SPEAKERAnd it just goes on like this for like 35 levels.

25:49SPEAKERSo like, yeah, everybody's pissed off at you all the time

25:54SPEAKERwhen you run this.

25:55SPEAKERLike that, one of the metrics of like video,

25:59SPEAKERlike when I was reviewing video cards,

26:01SPEAKERif the AMD people and the Nvidia people

26:02SPEAKERwere equally pissed off at me,

26:03SPEAKERI knew I was doing my job right.

26:05SPEAKERThis is the same thing.

26:05SPEAKERLike if the free speech people and the right,

26:08SPEAKERif the right wing and the left wing are both pissed off

26:10SPEAKERat you 'cause you're doing a shit job they think,

26:12SPEAKERthat means you're probably okay.

26:13SPEAKERIf one side really likes you, you've messed up.

26:16SPEAKERAnyway.

26:18SPEAKERSo we tried to get out of the deal,

26:19SPEAKERthey were gonna go to court.

26:21SPEAKERThe sale, they ended up, at the last minute,

26:24SPEAKERright before they went to court,

26:25SPEAKERI assume he talked to a lawyer who was like,

26:26SPEAKER"Hey, you're gonna have to pay in addition

26:28SPEAKERto the difference in the stock price to get out of this."

26:32SPEAKERLike, my assumption is that some lawyer at some point

26:35SPEAKERwas like, "Hey, look, you can get out of buying this,

26:38SPEAKERbut you're gonna have to pay $30 billion to do it,

26:41SPEAKER$10 billion to do it."

26:42SPEAKERSome enormous amount of money,

26:43SPEAKERversus the $1 billion that he would have to pay

26:47SPEAKERif he backed out of it before.

26:48SPEAKER'Cause that was another part of the sale contract,

26:51SPEAKERI forgot about this,

26:52SPEAKERis that because he had agreed to be on the board

26:54SPEAKERand then backed out, they put a clause in that was like,

26:56SPEAKER"Hey, if you back out of this one,

26:57SPEAKERyou owe us a billion dollars,

26:57SPEAKERplus the differences and costs."

27:00SPEAKERSo anyway, the point is it was probably cheaper

27:03SPEAKERfor him to buy Twitter than to not buy Twitter.

27:05SPEAKERSo they closed the sale on October 27th.

27:08SPEAKERThe stock was delisted and then shit got really crazy.

27:11SPEAKER- Yeah, it's kind of shocking how fast it went from

27:15SPEAKERhe's trying to get out of it,

27:16SPEAKERto he's being forced to buy it,

27:18SPEAKERto he's in there with a sink,

27:19SPEAKERto he has fired all the executives.

27:21SPEAKER- Let that sink in, Brad.

27:23SPEAKER- To he has cut half of the workforce

27:27SPEAKERto Mario is flipping off the entire internet

27:32SPEAKERfrom what looks like Nintendo of America's official account.

27:35SPEAKER- That was verified, that was a real account.

27:37SPEAKER- It all happened so fast and there's so much

27:39SPEAKERand I don't know if I can go through it all.

27:41SPEAKERI would love to recap everything in order,

27:44SPEAKERbut it's fucking impossible.

27:45SPEAKER- Well, okay, so the big ones,

27:49SPEAKERthe sink thing was unfortunate, like not funny.

27:55SPEAKERIt was maybe the worst dad joke I've seen in a while,

27:58SPEAKERbut so they were like,

28:01SPEAKERI was trying to break it up into multiple phases.

28:03SPEAKERThere was an early phase.

28:06SPEAKERWell, okay, first off he came in and he booted the CEO

28:09SPEAKERin the C-suite basically entirely on the first day.

28:11SPEAKERI think like two people survived that.

28:13SPEAKER- That was his first real big move, right?

28:16SPEAKER- Yeah.

28:17SPEAKER- Like the day he came in, he fired all the executives.

28:19SPEAKER- It seemed like there was no internal communication.

28:23SPEAKERSo it's not like he let people know what was going on

28:26SPEAKERwho worked there.

28:28SPEAKERThere was all sorts of weird code review stuff

28:30SPEAKERwhere they were asked to print out the code

28:33SPEAKERthey'd contributed and then maybe don't do that

28:35SPEAKERand shred it instead.

28:37SPEAKER- Right, God, I forgot about that one.

28:38SPEAKERYeah, again, there was so much.

28:40SPEAKERSo I'll put this in the show notes.

28:41SPEAKERI'm referring to a timeline that IGN posted

28:44SPEAKERof kind of the main bullet points,

28:46SPEAKERwhich are, like you said, for example,

28:48SPEAKER27th is the day he walked in with the sink,

28:50SPEAKER27th is also the day he fired all the executives,

28:53SPEAKERbut I guess this is the point I'm trying to make.

28:56SPEAKERLike the code review at the time was complete insanity,

29:00SPEAKERbut there has been so much subsequent

29:02SPEAKERand more intense insanity that that has like

29:04SPEAKERcompletely fallen out of the collective memory, right?

29:07SPEAKER- Yeah, but I mean, the code review is really telling to me

29:09SPEAKERbecause that's one of the things that's like,

29:10SPEAKERhey, for somebody who's worked in technology

29:13SPEAKERfor 23, four, five years at this point,

29:16SPEAKERhe's missing a core,

29:19SPEAKERlike there's a fundamental arc to software developers

29:22SPEAKERwhere in the beginning you don't write much code,

29:23SPEAKERthen you get good at writing code

29:24SPEAKERand you write a bunch of code,

29:25SPEAKERand then as you become more and more senior,

29:27SPEAKERyou get put onto harder problems,

29:28SPEAKERwhich means you probably write less code

29:30SPEAKERas somebody who's been doing this for 15 or 20 years

29:32SPEAKERthan you do early on,

29:33SPEAKERbut you understand how the architecture works

29:35SPEAKERor how you're working on free speech problems

29:38SPEAKERor like naughty hard problems.

29:40SPEAKERSo it's like what he's saying by writing by,

29:42SPEAKERhe's saying I'm only gonna keep the people

29:44SPEAKERin the middle of that path.

29:45SPEAKERLike when I have to sack, when I'm laying people off

29:49SPEAKERis as we all know, the best way to cut costs

29:52SPEAKERat a company that's losing money

29:53SPEAKERis to fire all the people that understand

29:55SPEAKERhow the thing works.

29:56SPEAKER- Of course, and also keep it running.

29:57SPEAKERIt's come out in the last few days

29:59SPEAKERthat he fired 80% of like,

30:03SPEAKERI don't know what the name for the department is,

30:06SPEAKERlike site reliability engineers and ops,

30:08SPEAKERlike the people who actually maintain all the systems

30:11SPEAKERand keep them running.

30:11SPEAKERAnd sure enough, I don't know if you've seen it,

30:13SPEAKERbut I absolutely have seen numerous examples

30:15SPEAKERof functionality just breaking on Twitter

30:17SPEAKERthat you haven't seen in years,

30:19SPEAKERlike implies failing to load in

30:21SPEAKERand all kinds of weird little stuff.

30:23SPEAKERLike retweets, retweets fell back.

30:25SPEAKERApparently they had a fallback mode on retweets

30:28SPEAKERto fall back to, remember the original style of retweets?

30:29SPEAKER- It was RT colon?

30:31SPEAKER- Yes, when people did it manually

30:32SPEAKERand they just wrote RT and pasted somebody's text in,

30:36SPEAKERlike it fell back to that for like half a day last week.

30:39SPEAKERLike things are breaking and most of the people

30:41SPEAKERwho were there to keep things from breaking or fix them

30:43SPEAKERare no longer there.

30:45SPEAKER- Well, yes, okay.

30:45SPEAKERSo he brought in, he fired the executive team.

30:48SPEAKERAnd then that period after that was categorized

30:51SPEAKERby friends of Elon posting polls

30:53SPEAKERthat seemed to be affecting policy changes on the site.

30:58SPEAKERAnd also after the Paul Pelosi attack

31:02SPEAKERthe weekend after he bought Twitter,

31:05SPEAKERhe posted some fake news about,

31:07SPEAKERit's like from a not just questionable resource,

31:15SPEAKERbut like a site that just posts lies.

31:18SPEAKER- Right, like it's not questionable

31:19SPEAKERthat that site thrives on conspiracy theories.

31:23SPEAKERIt's like, it's very documented.

31:25SPEAKER- And like replied to Hillary Clinton,

31:27SPEAKERlike was proud of himself.

31:29SPEAKER- Yes.

31:30SPEAKER- So this is when, so up until that point

31:34SPEAKERonly GM I think had said,

31:36SPEAKER'cause the important thing to think about at this point

31:37SPEAKERis Twitter makes all of its money from ads

31:39SPEAKERprior to October 27th, right?

31:42SPEAKERLike they have a tiny number of Twitter blue subscriptions.

31:45SPEAKERThere's a little bit of money

31:46SPEAKERthat goes through like the super follow stuff,

31:48SPEAKERbut compared to advertising, it's a drop in the hat.

31:52SPEAKERSo GM said, hey, we're gonna pause ads on Twitter

31:56SPEAKERfor a little bit.

31:57SPEAKERIt's important to understand where Twitter falls

31:59SPEAKERin the advertising market as well,

32:02SPEAKERbecause without that highly specific direct targeting,

32:05SPEAKERthere's a thing that Facebook and Instagram

32:07SPEAKERand the Facebook companies do where Nike,

32:12SPEAKERNike has a Facebook cookie on their site.

32:14SPEAKERAnd they know when you go and look at a pair of shoes

32:20SPEAKERon Nike's website, Nike will know and Facebook knows.

32:24SPEAKERAnd Nike's like, hey,

32:24SPEAKERthis person was interested in a pair of shoes.

32:26SPEAKERWe're gonna flood their feed with ads for this shoe

32:31SPEAKERand shoes that are adjacent and close to it

32:33SPEAKERto see if we can find the exact shoe

32:34SPEAKERthat they wanna spend money on right now.

32:36SPEAKERTwitter doesn't really allow that kind of advertising.

32:39SPEAKERIt doesn't enable that kind of advertising.

32:41SPEAKERSo Twitter is much more brand advertising,

32:43SPEAKERlike Facebook is very transactional.

32:45SPEAKERIt's like, hey, you need to buy something.

32:46SPEAKERWe're gonna put that thing in front of you and we're gonna,

32:48SPEAKERif you don't want, if you also,

32:50SPEAKERif Nike doesn't buy the ad for that shoe,

32:53SPEAKERfor that shoe customer,

32:55SPEAKERNew Balance and Adidas are right there ready to go, man.

32:58SPEAKER- Right, targeted is the word.

32:59SPEAKER- Yes, hyper-targeted.

33:02SPEAKERTwitter was much more about brand advertising.

33:04SPEAKERSo companies like Procter and Gamble

33:05SPEAKERthat make toothpaste and laundry detergent and shampoo.

33:10SPEAKERAnd I can't remember the new name

33:13SPEAKERof the company that owns Kraft,

33:14SPEAKERbut the company that owns Kraft owns Nabisco and Oreo

33:16SPEAKERand all sorts of cereals and stuff like that.

33:18SPEAKERGeneral Motors and Ford car companies are in the same boat.

33:22SPEAKERAnd because Tesla doesn't advertise,

33:25SPEAKERMusk doesn't believe in advertising,

33:27SPEAKERhe spent his whole career not learning how this shit works.

33:30SPEAKERSo when he comes out in the morning

33:32SPEAKERand immediately post a conspiracy theory website.

33:36SPEAKER- About an attempted political assassination.

33:39SPEAKER- Yeah, about something that,

33:40SPEAKERlike the advertisers are like, oh shit.

33:42SPEAKERAnd at the same time, there was a massive increase

33:44SPEAKERin the rise of hate speech on the platform.

33:46SPEAKER'Cause the moment Elon took over,

33:48SPEAKERthe racists in the shit bags came out

33:51SPEAKERand started posting all sorts of horrific stuff again,

33:54SPEAKER'cause they assumed that their boy was in and it was cool.

33:57SPEAKER- Yeah, at exactly the same moment

33:59SPEAKERthat moderation and enforcement

34:00SPEAKERwere in the process of being gutted.

34:02SPEAKER- Yeah, so, and while all this is going on,

34:06SPEAKERthey're posting cutesy polls,

34:09SPEAKERasking like whether advertisers should support free speech.

34:13SPEAKERThe advertisers continued to pull their ads

34:15SPEAKERfrom Twitter at this point.

34:17SPEAKER- They're also, this is another example of type stuff

34:20SPEAKERthat will get lost in the shuffle,

34:22SPEAKERbut there were people that worked in advertising

34:24SPEAKERat the time, there was both anonymous reporting

34:26SPEAKERand also a couple of them actually came out

34:28SPEAKERand tweeted about it directly.

34:29SPEAKERLike there was, he had a big conference call with advertisers

34:32SPEAKERa few days in that apparently was an absolute disaster.

34:35SPEAKERLike he clearly had no plan whatsoever

34:38SPEAKERfor how to execute any new strategy

34:42SPEAKERor how to address any of their concerns.

34:43SPEAKERAnd like some of the reporting was that like some ad reps

34:46SPEAKERat some companies were literally canceling future ad spend

34:50SPEAKERwhile that call was still going on.

34:51SPEAKERLike they were so astonished at what a mess,

34:54SPEAKERwhat a clown show it was.

34:55SPEAKER- Well, and I was gonna say the other thing to remember

34:57SPEAKERis we're in a soft economy going into a recession

35:00SPEAKERit looks like, right?

35:01SPEAKERAnd the first thing that goes in a recession

35:03SPEAKERis always brand advertising, right?

35:05SPEAKERLike you, transactional advertising makes sense

35:07SPEAKER'cause you're like, okay, this ad,

35:08SPEAKERthis sale cost us a dollar to make.

35:11SPEAKERSo we make $80 on the shoes.

35:13SPEAKERIt costs us a dollar for the ad.

35:15SPEAKERWe'll continue spending money on transactional ads.

35:17SPEAKERThat makes sense.

35:18SPEAKERBrand advertising, they're like, we have no idea

35:20SPEAKERwhat the return on this car ad on Twitter is.

35:23SPEAKERYou know, a tiny percent, nobody clicks on ads on Twitter.

35:26SPEAKERNobody clicks on links on Twitter at this point.

35:28SPEAKERIt's just staying inside the,

35:30SPEAKERit's like watching the watching machine go around in there.

35:33SPEAKERSo he's giving something there,

35:37SPEAKERhe's giving them an excuse to publicly look good

35:40SPEAKERby doing something they're already probably inclined to do.

35:43SPEAKERRight?

35:44SPEAKERSo the advertisers are gonna jump,

35:45SPEAKERit's like rats from a sinking ship at this point.

35:49SPEAKERAnd out of the tweet, out of the poll tweets

35:53SPEAKERcomes the Twitter blue slash verified thing.

36:02SPEAKERIt's interesting 'cause I talked to some friends

36:04SPEAKERwho ran message boards in the 90s

36:06SPEAKERand talked to people from my past.

36:08SPEAKERLike you had mentioned low tax earlier and something awful.

36:12SPEAKERLiterally speed running the how do we make money

36:14SPEAKERon message boards at this point.

36:16SPEAKERAnd I think around this time I tweeted something like,

36:18SPEAKERhey man, the secret of social media

36:21SPEAKERisn't that the posts are the content.

36:24SPEAKERIt's that the moderation is what you can sell

36:26SPEAKERbecause advertisers never ever ever wanna have

36:29SPEAKERtheir expensive brand ad up against a picture

36:31SPEAKERof some guy's junk or somebody,

36:33SPEAKERsomething horrible happening to somebody.

36:35SPEAKERLike they don't wanna be associated

36:37SPEAKERwith the worst day of somebody's life ever.

36:39SPEAKERRight?

36:40SPEAKER- Once they cross that bridge,

36:41SPEAKERmaybe they should just go all the way

36:42SPEAKERand let you pay to change other people's avatars

36:45SPEAKERand put red text on their profiles.

36:47SPEAKER- Well, so I was gonna say that's gotta be coming.

36:49SPEAKERSo the first-

36:53SPEAKER- Sorry, before we get too far ahead,

36:55SPEAKERI think this is also around the time

36:57SPEAKERthat he started publicly blaming woke activists

37:00SPEAKERfor the ad polls and not corporations

37:04SPEAKERbeing skittish about their brand safety.

37:09SPEAKER- At that point, one of the woke activists

37:12SPEAKERwho runs the ads for democracy group had publicly tweeted,

37:17SPEAKERwe haven't done anything yet.

37:19SPEAKERWe just were sitting here watching

37:20SPEAKERto see what was gonna happen

37:21SPEAKERand decide if we needed to do something.

37:23SPEAKERAnd you took care of it for us

37:24SPEAKERwhen you started tweeting conspiracy theories.

37:26SPEAKER- I mean, it's astonishing how, God, I shouldn't even.

37:30SPEAKERReading Twitter replies makes me want

37:32SPEAKERto stab my eyes out these days.

37:33SPEAKERLike it's really upsetting how effectively

37:36SPEAKERthose narratives catch on.

37:37SPEAKERLike people have no idea what is actually happening.

37:39SPEAKERLike they just are so primed to believe like,

37:44SPEAKERwhatever Twitter is a cabal of social justice warriors

37:48SPEAKERsilencing free speech, you know what I mean?

37:54SPEAKERAttachments and narrative has completely supplanted

37:56SPEAKERattachment to reality at this point.

37:58SPEAKER- Well, it's interesting 'cause I was thinking about,

38:00SPEAKERI wrote a blog post about this the other day

38:01SPEAKERand I was thinking about it.

38:05SPEAKERThe time that Twitter was best

38:07SPEAKERwas when Twitter didn't push anything

38:10SPEAKERthat was from outside of my people I follow into my feed.

38:14SPEAKERSo like before trending topics,

38:16SPEAKERbefore you could really retweet stuff

38:17SPEAKERfrom other people's feeds into your feed,

38:20SPEAKERbefore you saw a bazillion replies

38:23SPEAKERon every publicly trending post,

38:27SPEAKERlike it was just me and people I knew

38:29SPEAKERand people I was interested in their work

38:32SPEAKERkind of shooting the shit.

38:33SPEAKERAnd it was a lovely, that was a lovely experience.

38:35SPEAKERIt was like, I've coasted for 10 plus years

38:39SPEAKERon how good that was in the early 2010s.

38:44SPEAKERAnyway.

38:44SPEAKERSo yeah, so not only did he blame the loss of ad revenue

38:49SPEAKERon the leftist boogeyman

38:51SPEAKERand all of his sycophants ate it up,

38:53SPEAKERhe also was going, and also again at the same time,

38:56SPEAKERI was like, literal ad people are out there

38:59SPEAKERtalking about why they pulled their ads.

39:01SPEAKERYou still believe this bullshit.

39:02SPEAKERAnyway, I don't know if you saw,

39:04SPEAKERI assume you saw that tweet about nuclear name and shame.

39:09SPEAKERAt some point, people were complaining

39:11SPEAKERabout what was going on.

39:15SPEAKERHe basically said like, yes,

39:16SPEAKERthere's going to be a nuclear naming and shaming

39:18SPEAKERof the advertisers who are undermining the business.

39:20SPEAKER- Oh, yeah, yeah.

39:21SPEAKER- And it was like, oh yeah, yeah, great.

39:23SPEAKERLike the people who are voluntarily pulling their money

39:26SPEAKERthat are destroying your revenue,

39:28SPEAKERit's probably a good idea to threaten them.

39:29SPEAKERI'm sure that will make them come back.

39:31SPEAKER- Brad, the first amendment means that you have to spend

39:33SPEAKERmoney on a billionaire's website that you don't want to.

39:36SPEAKERThat's what freedom means.

39:37SPEAKER- The chilling thing is that prior to the mid,

39:39SPEAKERthis was directly prior to the midterms

39:41SPEAKERwhen everybody thought that Republicans

39:43SPEAKERare going to take firm control of Congress

39:44SPEAKERand there were like Mitch McConnell's former chief of staff

39:48SPEAKERwas out there basically saying like,

39:51SPEAKERwe're going to hold these companies

39:52SPEAKERin front of a congressional committee next year.

39:54SPEAKERYou know, like there's some like genuinely chilling stuff

39:57SPEAKERbeing said politically about the companies

39:59SPEAKERwho were pulling out, but anyway.

40:01SPEAKER- Yeah, well, I mean, look, I don't think it's...

40:07SPEAKERAgain, I said this earlier, I'm gonna explain it.

40:10SPEAKERThe idea that you could moderate content

40:12SPEAKERat the scale of a social network is what allowed,

40:16SPEAKERis what allowed social media to be able to sell ads, right?

40:20SPEAKERLike without Procter and Gamble,

40:24SPEAKERNabisco doesn't want an ad for Oreos

40:27SPEAKERacross from some guy calling somebody the N word ever.

40:30SPEAKERAnd if your platform can't guarantee

40:32SPEAKERthat it's not gonna happen,

40:33SPEAKERthey're not gonna spend money with you.

40:35SPEAKERWhether it's not about free speech,

40:36SPEAKERit's just really straightforward.

40:38SPEAKER- Yes, anyway, sorry,

40:42SPEAKERwe were moving into the verification stuff.

40:43SPEAKER- Yeah, so the verification thing

40:44SPEAKERis when it really became a...

40:46SPEAKERIt went from like train wreck to farcical clown show.

40:51SPEAKERHe gave a seven day project and he was like,

40:53SPEAKERhey, the verified check mark is gonna go

40:55SPEAKERto everybody who signs up for Twitter Blue.

40:57SPEAKERNow, Brad, you and I both have check marks.

41:00SPEAKERI got a check mark 'cause I thought it was really funny,

41:03SPEAKERrealistically. - Sure.

41:06SPEAKER- I got mine because the entire...

41:09SPEAKERI started to say entire company, which is not right,

41:11SPEAKERbut like our entire, the games group got them.

41:14SPEAKER- Every public facing person in the game,

41:16SPEAKERin like journalists got them.

41:17SPEAKER- Yeah, so I think there may have been an ad buy involved.

41:20SPEAKERLike it was just literally like,

41:21SPEAKERhey, like we're doing enough business with Twitter

41:23SPEAKERthat we can just get everybody verified,

41:24SPEAKERlike send us your info.

41:26SPEAKERI was like, okay, sure, whatever.

41:27SPEAKER- So it's not always tied to ad buy.

41:30SPEAKERLike if you have an agent and your agent can do that,

41:32SPEAKERlike it's basically the point of verification,

41:36SPEAKERaside from me thinking it's funny that I'm verified

41:40SPEAKER'cause my name's Will Smith and people get confused

41:41SPEAKERand it's all continuous. - When did you get yours?

41:43SPEAKERWas it very early?

41:44SPEAKER- Like 2015, 2013, I don't know.

41:47SPEAKERIt was before you could do the public application,

41:49SPEAKERbut it was after, it was when I was attested still.

41:52SPEAKERSo maybe it was 2012, I can't remember.

41:55SPEAKER- The point is that verification serves

41:56SPEAKERa functional purpose regardless of how frivolously

42:00SPEAKERthey started granting it later.

42:01SPEAKERLike the point is you're enough of a public figure

42:04SPEAKERthat it serves you and the rest of Twitter

42:08SPEAKERto prove that you are who you say you are.

42:10SPEAKER- Yeah, well, and then it also gives you access

42:13SPEAKERto some filtering tools that we didn't,

42:14SPEAKERI think now everybody gets those,

42:15SPEAKERbut you didn't get them for a long time.

42:17SPEAKER- That is the case.

42:18SPEAKERAnd I remember thinking that that was really shitty

42:19SPEAKERwhen I got verified and noticed that I was able

42:22SPEAKERto much better control the amount of bullshit coming at me

42:26SPEAKERand thinking like, boy, that sucks

42:28SPEAKERthat everybody doesn't have this,

42:29SPEAKERbut yes, that eventually they did.

42:31SPEAKER- Yeah, so he basically said seven days,

42:35SPEAKERwe're gonna change Twitter blue.

42:36SPEAKERYou're gonna get the verified check mark.

42:37SPEAKERAt this point, it became clear that he,

42:39SPEAKERso the other thing that people should understand

42:42SPEAKERif you don't pay a lot of attention to Twitter

42:43SPEAKERis that normal people realize that the blue check mark

42:46SPEAKERmeans, hey, this person is who they say they are.

42:50SPEAKERCrazy right-wingers, right wing, like all right people,

42:55SPEAKERthink that the, I think they mean,

42:57SPEAKERI think that it means it signals like media lead

42:59SPEAKERor left-wing West Coast liberal, coastal liberal.

43:03SPEAKERIt's unclear to me exactly what it signifies

43:05SPEAKERexcept for that it's like,

43:06SPEAKERhey, these people are better than us.

43:08SPEAKER- Right, and that correlates with what I was saying

43:10SPEAKERabout like entire media outfits

43:11SPEAKERwere just getting their whole staff verified.

43:14SPEAKERAnd so like here is like some assistant editor

43:16SPEAKERmaking 30K a year living in a shoebox is verified

43:20SPEAKERand you think this is a coastal elite.

43:22SPEAKER- Well, and just to be clear,

43:24SPEAKERthe verification stuff started

43:25SPEAKERbecause there was a real impersonation problem early

43:27SPEAKERon Twitter.

43:28SPEAKERLike the reason Shaquille O'Neal's Twitter account

43:32SPEAKERis real Shaq is because he came to Twitter.

43:36SPEAKERHe was the first, I'm picking on Shaquille Shaq

43:38SPEAKERbecause he's the first celebrity I remember on Twitter.

43:41SPEAKERHe came to Twitter because he heard about somebody

43:43SPEAKERimpersonating him on Twitter and he's like,

43:44SPEAKERhey man, that thing sounds pretty fun.

43:45SPEAKERI'm gonna go do that.

43:47SPEAKERAnd then he started posting Shaq,

43:49SPEAKERthis kind of shit you see on basketball games

43:51SPEAKERwhen he's doing the halftime show on Twitter.

43:55SPEAKERIt was really good.

43:56SPEAKERIt was funny.

43:56SPEAKERIt was like made him feel like a human being

43:58SPEAKERinstead of like a larger than life public figure.

44:00SPEAKERAnd that kind of opened the flood gates.

44:03SPEAKERSo there was this, there was a period of time

44:04SPEAKERwhere there was a mixture of actual celebrities,

44:08SPEAKERactual politicians, actual government entities

44:11SPEAKERand people parodying actual politicians

44:16SPEAKERand government entities.

44:16SPEAKERThe only way you could tell them apart

44:18SPEAKERwas that the parody ones had to have parody

44:20SPEAKERwritten somewhere in their profile,

44:22SPEAKERwhich nobody ever looked at.

44:23SPEAKERSo it was a shit show all the time.

44:25SPEAKERAnyway, they rolled out the check mark

44:28SPEAKERas a result of that.

44:29SPEAKERIt originally was really hard to get.

44:30SPEAKERThen it was slightly less hard to get.

44:31SPEAKERThen it was impossible to get for a long time

44:33SPEAKER'cause they just stopped doing it.

44:34SPEAKERAnd then it became really, really easy to get later on.

44:40SPEAKERSo Elon takes this thing that's designed to say,

44:46SPEAKERhey, this person is who they say they are.

44:50SPEAKERThis entity that you're seeing on the website,

44:52SPEAKERthe picture, whether it's Nintendo or me

44:55SPEAKERor Tucker Carlson, this person is who you say you are

45:00SPEAKERand says, we're gonna give this to everybody

45:02SPEAKERwho pays at first 20 bucks a month.

45:06SPEAKER'Cause it's like, how much could a banana cost, $20?

45:08SPEAKER- Yes, until hero of the people, Stephen King, intervened.

45:11SPEAKER- Yeah.

45:12SPEAKERAnd then it comes down to eight bucks.

45:15SPEAKERAnd meanwhile, while this is happening,

45:18SPEAKERall the people with actual that are verified are like,

45:20SPEAKERthis is fucking stupid.

45:22SPEAKERI'm not paying $8.

45:23SPEAKERI'm here, I'm providing,

45:25SPEAKERStephen King's argument was cogent.

45:27SPEAKERI'm providing value to you.

45:29SPEAKEREvery other platform that I can,

45:31SPEAKERif I had a sub stack right now,

45:32SPEAKERI could be charging money for this, right?

45:34SPEAKERWhy am I here making free content for you

45:36SPEAKERwhen you're gonna charge me to use your thing?

45:38SPEAKERFuck that.

45:41SPEAKERWhich is, just to be clear,

45:42SPEAKERthat's a thought we've all had on Twitter

45:44SPEAKERfor many times over the years.

45:48SPEAKERHe goes on with it.

45:50SPEAKERA bazillion people tell him it's a bad idea.

45:53SPEAKERThe advertisers are, meanwhile,

45:55SPEAKERthe five that are remaining are running like hell.

45:58SPEAKERAnd it goes live.

46:00SPEAKERAnd what happens immediately, Brad?

46:01SPEAKER- Oh my God.

46:02SPEAKER(laughing)

46:07SPEAKERSo from what I know, a writer I know at one point said,

46:10SPEAKER"You could not write this."

46:11SPEAKERAnd they are absolutely 100% correct.

46:14SPEAKERLike the bedlam that has ensued

46:16SPEAKERsince that change went into effect is beyond parody.

46:19SPEAKERLike just, like, I don't know how to describe it.

46:22SPEAKERLike it was, well, I mean,

46:24SPEAKERit was exactly what you expected to happen.

46:25SPEAKERLike the biggest accounts on Twitter

46:28SPEAKERimmediately were being impersonated

46:29SPEAKERwith check marks next to their name

46:31SPEAKERand spreading all kinds of stuff

46:32SPEAKERthat a ton of people took as legitimate.

46:35SPEAKER- Hey, Brad, insulin's gonna be free.

46:37SPEAKER- Yeah, like stock prices have crashed massively

46:40SPEAKERon Twitter hoaxes since this happened.

46:44SPEAKERA bunch of slightly more benign examples also exist.

46:48SPEAKERSomebody impersonated Valve and announced something fake.

46:52SPEAKERSomebody used Mario to flip everybody off

46:54SPEAKERfrom a real seeming Nintendo account, like I said.

46:58SPEAKER- That was, that Mario one was the first one I saw.

47:01SPEAKERI was like, this is pretty funny.

47:02SPEAKER- Yeah, it was the Valve one for me,

47:04SPEAKERwhich again, like featured a pretty believable

47:06SPEAKERfake product announcement.

47:09SPEAKERIt was exactly what you expected to happen.

47:11SPEAKERAnd it happened.

47:12SPEAKERAnd this was the part to still my favorite moment

47:16SPEAKERin this entire saga.

47:18SPEAKERLike the part where I decided, okay, fine.

47:20SPEAKERI'm on board with the idea that this is too entertaining.

47:23SPEAKERLike I was really not happy about the whole thing prior.

47:27SPEAKERAnd at that point I was just like, okay,

47:29SPEAKERthis is a lost cause.

47:29SPEAKERI'm just gonna laugh at it.

47:31SPEAKERIt was the point that they rolled out the official tag.

47:33SPEAKER- Oh yeah.

47:34SPEAKER- It was the point that they reinvented verification

47:37SPEAKERbecause they had just destroyed verification.

47:40SPEAKER- I mean, it's profoundly like,

47:44SPEAKERit's just a lack of understanding

47:46SPEAKERabout how people use things.

47:47SPEAKERLike Elon Musk would have known that.

47:51SPEAKERI would have known that

47:52SPEAKER'cause we would spend too much time on Twitter.

47:53SPEAKER- Is it lack of understanding though?

47:54SPEAKER'Cause people were like tweeting screenshots to him

47:56SPEAKERof a bunch of the major hoaxes that had been perpetrated

47:59SPEAKERand he was like posting laughing emojis at them.

48:00SPEAKER- No, no, no.

48:01SPEAKERThe idea that, I mean, look,

48:04SPEAKERwhat this says to me is that his thesis is

48:07SPEAKERthe only thing of value that Twitter makes

48:09SPEAKERis blue check marks, right?

48:10SPEAKER- Right.

48:11SPEAKER- So he could sell blue check marks

48:14SPEAKERto a bunch of presumably MAGA chuds.

48:17SPEAKER- Yeah, like the response to that whole thing

48:19SPEAKERcould not have made it more crystal clear

48:20SPEAKERthat it's all just about spite and grievance.

48:24SPEAKER- Yeah, I think that's fair.

48:26SPEAKER- But even those people,

48:27SPEAKEReven the people who are gonna pay the $8

48:29SPEAKERto feel like they're owning the libs or whatever,

48:33SPEAKERlike that revenue is not gonna last.

48:34SPEAKERLike how long?

48:36SPEAKERI mean, some of them will forget to click cancel

48:39SPEAKERand just let it ride.

48:40SPEAKERBut like that high is gonna wear off pretty fast

48:43SPEAKEReven if this program even comes back.

48:46SPEAKERAnd like after two or three months,

48:47SPEAKERthey're gonna cancel because nobody's gonna care anymore.

48:50SPEAKER- Yeah, yeah.

48:50SPEAKER- So it's one of the most short-sighted moves

48:54SPEAKERin all of business I have ever seen.

48:55SPEAKER- It is a cell phone on the same scale

48:58SPEAKERof Microsoft shipping Windows 8

49:00SPEAKERwith a UI that works great for touch

49:02SPEAKERand terrible on desktops.

49:04SPEAKER- Oh, I think it's way worse than that.

49:05SPEAKERWell, I mean, that was-

49:06SPEAKER- 99% of computers are desktops.

49:08SPEAKER- I mean, this you overnight completely devalued

49:13SPEAKERand delegitimized the integrity of your entire platform.

49:16SPEAKER- Yeah, there was a good post.

49:17SPEAKERI can't remember who posted it,

49:19SPEAKERbut there was a good series of posts

49:20SPEAKERabout the trust thermocline,

49:22SPEAKERwhich is an idea that I hadn't really thought about before.

49:25SPEAKERI mean, it's something I'd considered,

49:27SPEAKERbut I hadn't, it's a good metaphor for it.

49:29SPEAKERAnd the idea is that as you have,

49:33SPEAKERthermoclines are sudden changes in temperature in the water.

49:36SPEAKERSo like when you go deeper in the ocean or a lake,

49:38SPEAKERthen it gets colder all of a sudden.

49:40SPEAKERAnd the idea is that when you cross one of those,

49:43SPEAKERthat there are trust thresholds that are the same.

49:45SPEAKERAnd when you cross over one of those thresholds,

49:48SPEAKERthat trust is gone and you can't get it back.

49:50SPEAKERAnd I think we were at that,

49:52SPEAKERwe're well beyond that point with Twitter at this point.

49:55SPEAKER- For sure, absolutely.

49:55SPEAKERI mean, it's just, the idea is just a tipping point

49:59SPEAKERwhere people have lost enough trust in your platform

50:02SPEAKERthat it's not fixable and that they like,

50:05SPEAKERthere was some component of that, that like-

50:08SPEAKER- Eli Lilly lost $20 billion in valuation because of this.

50:12SPEAKERThere was some, there was some component in that concept

50:14SPEAKERof like the effort required to just leave the platform

50:18SPEAKERis now less than the effort to stay and subject yourself

50:21SPEAKERto something that you inherently don't enjoy and trust.

50:23SPEAKER- Yeah.

50:25SPEAKERMore so, and like, just to be clear,

50:27SPEAKEReverybody's relationship with Twitter,

50:29SPEAKERwho spends time on Twitter,

50:30SPEAKERis fraught after the Trump presidency, right?

50:33SPEAKERLike between, like the party stopped for Twitter

50:37SPEAKERwhen Gamergate started in 2014, 2013,

50:41SPEAKERand it's gotten progressively worse each year since then.

50:45SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, I would say,

50:49SPEAKERI mean, I don't know when it was

50:50SPEAKERduring the Trump administration,

50:51SPEAKERbut at some point it became such a vehicle

50:53SPEAKERfor propaganda and untruth that like,

50:57SPEAKERits effect on my mental health was never good,

50:59SPEAKERbut like, once it got to the point

51:00SPEAKERwhere you literally could not believe anything

51:02SPEAKERyou were reading and you were watching like,

51:04SPEAKERlike very harmful mass delusion play out in real time,

51:07SPEAKERlike it got to be really hard to swallow

51:09SPEAKERand yet we all keep subjecting ourselves to it.

51:12SPEAKER- Yeah, people looking for the basements

51:14SPEAKERof pizza places that didn't exist.

51:17SPEAKERThey turned off Twitter Blue after about 36 hours

51:20SPEAKERafter it went live,

51:21SPEAKERafter the verification badges went live.

51:24SPEAKER- Do you know if-

51:25SPEAKER- The timing on that was hard to find, actually.

51:27SPEAKER- Do the people who already paid keep the check marks

51:29SPEAKERor did they lose them?

51:30SPEAKER- That is unclear.

51:32SPEAKERI have not seen-

51:33SPEAKER- I actually, I know for a fact,

51:35SPEAKERyou know, you can quick click into profiles now

51:37SPEAKERand click the check mark and it'll tell you if they-

51:39SPEAKER- Yeah, yeah, yeah.

51:39SPEAKER- Paid for it or if it was a legacy one.

51:42SPEAKERSo I still have seen people with those,

51:44SPEAKERthe paycheck marks around in the last day or two, so.

51:48SPEAKER- That's good.

51:48SPEAKERI mean, I saw Nintendo's account still had it, so.

51:52SPEAKERAnd like, it was such a deluge,

51:57SPEAKERlike there's a channel of Discord that you and I are in,

52:00SPEAKERBrad, that was just, I mean,

52:02SPEAKERthe TechPod Discord had a bazillion of them posted.

52:04SPEAKERIt was just like a nonstop chain of,

52:06SPEAKERhey, here's the giant corporate entities

52:10SPEAKERbeing mocked with parody in the account name

52:14SPEAKERand a verified badge.

52:16SPEAKER- Yeah, yes.

52:17SPEAKER- He made some statements about having parody,

52:20SPEAKERparody has to be clear or whatever,

52:22SPEAKERand everybody made fun of him

52:23SPEAKER'cause he opened the week before

52:25SPEAKERwith comedy is back on Twitter or some nonsense.

52:28SPEAKER- Right.

52:30SPEAKERThat almost brings us to the present day,

52:31SPEAKERbut I mean, there's some stuff we've glossed over.

52:33SPEAKERIt would take two hours to exhaustively

52:34SPEAKERgo through all this stuff,

52:35SPEAKERbut there was the part where after they laid off

52:38SPEAKERhalf of the workforce, within like 12 hours,

52:40SPEAKERit got out that they were starting to solicit

52:43SPEAKERsome of those people to come back

52:44SPEAKERbecause they had not done any diligence at all

52:47SPEAKERand decided I'm gonna get rid of.

52:49SPEAKER- Then there were posts from the Slack,

52:51SPEAKERscreenshots from the Slack where the manager

52:54SPEAKERthat was having to hire those people back was like,

52:55SPEAKERwe're just gonna suck the knowledge out of them

52:57SPEAKERand then fire them again in a few weeks.

52:59SPEAKER- Right, and there was a really gross ideological dent

53:02SPEAKERto that screenshot that you were talking about

53:03SPEAKERthat I saw last night that basically was like,

53:05SPEAKERsome of them may not even like be okay

53:07SPEAKERwith an Elon Twitter at all and stuff like that.

53:10SPEAKER- Well, and then there were also,

53:12SPEAKERthere was also the,

53:17SPEAKERoh, I completely lost the thread, I'm sorry.

53:19SPEAKER- Well, that's okay, there's plenty of more material

53:21SPEAKERto go through here.

53:21SPEAKERThere was the kind of all hands call he had

53:25SPEAKERwith the remaining staff where people basically

53:27SPEAKERsort of asked him like, hey, what are your plans

53:30SPEAKERto form and rally all of us around a shared vision

53:34SPEAKERand his response was essentially,

53:35SPEAKERI don't know, we're all gonna have to be more hardcore.

53:38SPEAKER- Yeah.

53:38SPEAKER- That was the same call that he admitted to everyone

53:40SPEAKERthat he didn't know how much burn rate

53:43SPEAKERor how much runway the company had left

53:45SPEAKERand that it wasn't out of the question

53:46SPEAKERthat they would declare bankruptcy.

53:48SPEAKERThis was less than two weeks in.

53:50SPEAKER- Well, I mean, 'cause like from a pure numbers standpoint,

53:54SPEAKERthe advertisers are mostly gone.

53:56SPEAKERLike I'm not even, I usually block all the ads

53:58SPEAKERthat I see that annoy me

53:59SPEAKERand I'm just getting absolute garbage like,

54:01SPEAKERhey, come click on our content farm for 22 pages

54:04SPEAKERso we can make more money than the cost of this ad.

54:06SPEAKER- Yeah, I think we may have neglected to mention

54:09SPEAKERand I'm sure most people know this at this point,

54:11SPEAKERbut due to the way his loans and the deal were structured,

54:15SPEAKERthe company now has about a billion dollars

54:17SPEAKERof annual debt to service.

54:19SPEAKER- Yeah.

54:20SPEAKER- So like they've got to cover a billion dollars a year

54:22SPEAKERjust on the debt on the purchase,

54:24SPEAKERlet alone all of their other burn for operations.

54:29SPEAKER- And then the other thing is the people who work

54:31SPEAKERin, who formerly worked in ops have been reliably,

54:34SPEAKERseem reliable, will have to seem to have reliable information

54:37SPEAKERthat the state, the service has always been a little wobbly.

54:40SPEAKERLike in the old days, we saw the fail whale fairly often.

54:43SPEAKER- Yes.

54:44SPEAKER- But you know, the idea that Twitter is going to continue

54:49SPEAKERto be around forever is in question now

54:52SPEAKERbecause it's unclear whether they have the people internally

54:55SPEAKERto keep the service going.

54:56SPEAKERLike it's complicated and it's heavy.

54:58SPEAKER- You're starting to see, like I said earlier,

55:00SPEAKERcurrent and former employees talking about like

55:02SPEAKERsome of the little problems with functionality

55:04SPEAKERthey're happening and how those can no longer

55:06SPEAKERbe addressed efficiently.

55:08SPEAKER- Yeah.

55:10SPEAKERThe other thing, there's a fundamental,

55:11SPEAKERlike I didn't go to business school clearly,

55:15SPEAKERbut there's a fundamental approach to it.

55:16SPEAKERLike him coming into this all hands and saying,

55:18SPEAKER"Hey, we got to get more money,"

55:20SPEAKERwhile he's torching the existing revenue streams.

55:22SPEAKERThat's not generally how you do that.

55:24SPEAKERUsually you buy something because it already makes money

55:26SPEAKERand you're like, "Oh, we can make more money by doing this."

55:29SPEAKERAnd coming in and throwing out the existing revenue streams

55:32SPEAKERwith seemingly no idea, like, I mean, it's possible

55:35SPEAKERthere's some 4D chess happening here,

55:37SPEAKERbut it just seems like he's in over his head

55:39SPEAKERand doesn't really understand how this business worked

55:40SPEAKERand maybe just like posting on Twitter,

55:43SPEAKERbut now gets to be the star of Twitter every single day.

55:46SPEAKER- That's exactly what I've seen people saying.

55:48SPEAKERHe bought Twitter so he could be

55:50SPEAKERthe main character every day.

55:53SPEAKERAnother thing I was going to mention just now,

55:54SPEAKERanother thing you're seeing from remaining employees is

55:58SPEAKERI've seen several talking quite openly

56:01SPEAKERwhile they still work there about the fact

56:03SPEAKERthat they are planning to leave or are looking.

56:05SPEAKERLike the people who are still there are being very blunt

56:08SPEAKERabout like, "Hey, I'm available,

56:09SPEAKERlike I'm not planning to stick around for long.

56:11SPEAKERHere's my LinkedIn."

56:13SPEAKERLike I'm kind of shocking how little people

56:15SPEAKERseem to care at this point.

56:17SPEAKER- I think that there were a lot of people

56:20SPEAKERwho knew he was going to lay,

56:21SPEAKERso we didn't even talk about the fact

56:22SPEAKERthat he tried to screw people out of the severance

56:24SPEAKERand realized only after the lawyers told him

56:27SPEAKERthat if he didn't actually follow the law,

56:31SPEAKERhe was going to be subject to way more fines

56:33SPEAKERand have to pay anyway.

56:35SPEAKER- Yeah, California requires you to either,

56:36SPEAKERwhen you're doing mass layoffs,

56:37SPEAKERgive 60 days of notice or pay 60 days of severance.

56:41SPEAKER- Yeah, and benefits.

56:42SPEAKER- And yes.

56:43SPEAKER- So I assume that there were a bunch of people

56:45SPEAKERwho were hanging out waiting,

56:48SPEAKER'cause like his reputation in the valley is that,

56:52SPEAKERlike I've had multiple people who worked at Tesla

56:54SPEAKERtell me that their strategy at Tesla

56:56SPEAKERwas just to stay out of his attention

56:58SPEAKERuntil they'd fully vested all the shares

57:00SPEAKERthat they earned by working there.

57:02SPEAKERAnd then, 'cause the moment you come into his focus,

57:05SPEAKERyou're at risk of being sacked at any moment.

57:07SPEAKER- Right, yes, I've also heard similar stuff

57:10SPEAKERabout working at his company is that he,

57:12SPEAKERit's kind of exactly what his public impression,

57:14SPEAKERor what his public persona gives the impression of,

57:16SPEAKERwhich is that he'll just kind of like waltz in

57:19SPEAKERin the middle of important work

57:20SPEAKERwith some cockamamie idea that he saw somewhere,

57:23SPEAKERand all of a sudden everybody has to grind to a halt

57:25SPEAKERand pivot to whatever,

57:26SPEAKERto executing whatever insane thing it is

57:29SPEAKERthat he just came in with.

57:30SPEAKER- I mean, look, he's really good at,

57:32SPEAKERwell, he's not really particularly good at announcing stuff.

57:33SPEAKERHe's bad on stage,

57:35SPEAKERbut he announces a lot of stuff

57:37SPEAKERand ships some of it eventually.

57:38SPEAKERI mean, I'm still way down in the truck,

57:41SPEAKERbut it's just, I don't know.

57:45SPEAKERLike the number of people,

57:46SPEAKERthe engineers of the caliber

57:48SPEAKERwho work at someplace like Twitter

57:49SPEAKERare generally good enough to get jobs wherever they want.

57:51SPEAKER- But that's the point I was trying to make.

57:52SPEAKERSo they eliminated half the workforce.

57:57SPEAKER- Seemingly willy nilly.

57:58SPEAKER- And the people who were there, like I said,

58:01SPEAKERare talking pretty openly about leaving,

58:03SPEAKERbut then we also haven't mentioned,

58:04SPEAKERlike he eliminated remote work entirely.

58:07SPEAKER- Yeah.

58:08SPEAKER- Like everyone has to come into the office

58:09SPEAKERfive days a week now.

58:10SPEAKERThey've eliminated a lot of perks,

58:11SPEAKERlike free lunch and stuff.

58:12SPEAKERLike that's the point that you were making.

58:14SPEAKERLike, yes, we are heading perhaps into a tougher economy,

58:16SPEAKERbut, and like Facebook also just cut a ton of people.

58:19SPEAKERSo like the job market for tech and engineers

58:22SPEAKERmaybe is not as robust as it was,

58:24SPEAKERbut still like these people absolutely have better options

58:27SPEAKERthan to continue putting up with this.

58:29SPEAKER- I mean, so the last time there was a recession

58:31SPEAKERof this scale, the people who got laid off

58:37SPEAKERwent and started companies like Google

58:39SPEAKERand Facebook and Twitter.

58:40SPEAKERI mean, that was over two different ones,

58:41SPEAKERbut like Google hired a shitload of engineers

58:44SPEAKERand the post 2001.com bubble,

58:47SPEAKERwhen the bubble burst.

58:49SPEAKERFacebook and Twitter and the social media companies

58:51SPEAKERhired a bunch of engineers in 2007, 2008.

58:54SPEAKERThere's going to be stuff for the engineers to do.

58:56SPEAKERThe people who are smart have ideas for products

58:58SPEAKERand they're going to pitch them right now in the valley

59:00SPEAKERand like, they'll get a couple of million dollars

59:01SPEAKERto get started.

59:02SPEAKERAnd the next wave of big companies will come out of this.

59:06SPEAKERLike the thing, I assume people were waiting

59:08SPEAKERto see if they got the severance package

59:10SPEAKERbefore they decided when they were gonna quit, right?

59:12SPEAKER'Cause if you get the severance package,

59:13SPEAKERit's like winning the lottery.

59:14SPEAKERYou get three months, you get six weeks, 60 days, two months.

59:18SPEAKER- I think they're paying three months.

59:20SPEAKER- Yeah.

59:20SPEAKER- That's what they said.

59:21SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, compared to Facebook,

59:23SPEAKERFacebook actually laid off way more people,

59:26SPEAKER10,000, 11,000 people this week.

59:28SPEAKERAnd they gave a, I was kind of surprised.

59:31SPEAKERIt was a shockingly generous severance package.

59:33SPEAKER- Yeah, it was like six months of health insurance

59:35SPEAKERfor employee and family.

59:36SPEAKER- Yeah, and-

59:37SPEAKER- It was like a scalable severance based on years worked.

59:41SPEAKER- But it started at a high number.

59:43SPEAKERIt started like three months or something.

59:44SPEAKERIt was a lot.

59:46SPEAKER- Pretty actually generous, I think.

59:49SPEAKER- And Zuckerberg took responsibility.

59:52SPEAKERZuckerberg was like, "Hey."

59:53SPEAKERI can't believe it.

59:54SPEAKERZuckerberg comes out looking like,

59:56SPEAKERthe rest of the valley's gotta be thrilled

59:57SPEAKERthat Musk is taking over Twitter

59:58SPEAKER'cause it makes Zuckerberg look like a benevolent overlord.

1:00:03SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, I read Zuckerberg's statement.

1:00:05SPEAKERI mean, I get, you know.

1:00:07SPEAKER- He sucks.

1:00:08SPEAKER- It seems pretty safe, a safe bet

1:00:10SPEAKERthat he was coached through every word of that statement,

1:00:12SPEAKERbut the proof is in the pudding of the severance,

1:00:16SPEAKERwhich again is pretty generous.

1:00:18SPEAKER- Yeah, those people worked for him.

1:00:19SPEAKERHe made the mistake.

1:00:20SPEAKERI mean, he could have taken a loss there.

1:00:23SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:00:24SPEAKER- But anyway-

1:00:25SPEAKER- The point here is that he is just,

1:00:27SPEAKERMusk is doing everything humanly possible

1:00:29SPEAKERto utterly destroy both the morale

1:00:31SPEAKERand the effectiveness of the Twitter workforce.

1:00:34SPEAKER- Yeah, it's, I like, I literally,

1:00:38SPEAKERI think he understands how to post

1:00:40SPEAKERand I think he understands how to engage an audience, right?

1:00:42SPEAKERI don't think he understands anything

1:00:43SPEAKERabout how advertising works or how that business works.

1:00:46SPEAKERAnd it's like, it is shocking to me that the,

1:00:54SPEAKERand it's entirely possible that three years from now

1:00:56SPEAKERwe'll come back and we'll be like,

1:00:57SPEAKERman, Musk really turned Twitter around.

1:00:58SPEAKERIt's like the number one place for, I don't know.

1:01:02SPEAKERI don't know what it's gonna be, but we'll see.

1:01:04SPEAKERHe has this, he has what I would describe

1:01:06SPEAKERas a fairly cockamamie scheme to turn it into a,

1:01:08SPEAKERlike a WeChat style one app where you have money

1:01:13SPEAKERand messaging and all sorts of other stuff.

1:01:16SPEAKERIt's a mess.

1:01:17SPEAKER- Yes, I can't wait to put my payment details into this app.

1:01:21SPEAKER- Yeah, right.

1:01:22SPEAKER- Dude, we could literally sit here all day talking about,

1:01:24SPEAKERlike I've seen talk about like the people that were there

1:01:27SPEAKERto make sure that the tracking isn't provided

1:01:29SPEAKERto the wrong third parties.

1:01:30SPEAKER- Oh my God.

1:01:31SPEAKER- User tracking, like that's no longer a safe bet.

1:01:37SPEAKER- I missed that they laid off a bunch of contractors

1:01:39SPEAKERyesterday by just turning off access to Slack and email.

1:01:42SPEAKER- Yes, they cut a bunch more contractors last night.

1:01:45SPEAKER- I mean, there's the stuff where he was like trying,

1:01:47SPEAKERthe FTC basically was like looking over their shoulder

1:01:50SPEAKERabout whether their kind of consent decree

1:01:53SPEAKERabout user data was being followed.

1:01:56SPEAKERAnd he basically personally assured engineers,

1:01:59SPEAKERlike, don't worry, you will be held liable if we're sued,

1:02:01SPEAKERwhich does not at all seem to be the case.

1:02:03SPEAKER- Oh no, yeah.

1:02:04SPEAKERJust to be clear, if your company ever says,

1:02:05SPEAKERhey, if your company ever says, hey, don't worry,

1:02:10SPEAKERdo this thing that you know to be illegal

1:02:11SPEAKERor against the law, we got your back,

1:02:14SPEAKERask the lawyer if they represent you or the company.

1:02:17SPEAKER- Yeah, yeah.

1:02:18SPEAKER- And then don't do it.

1:02:19SPEAKER- Yes.

1:02:20SPEAKER- Yeah, that's a good way to end up

1:02:21SPEAKERon the wrong side of the stick.

1:02:23SPEAKER- Yeah, we should probably move on

1:02:25SPEAKERand wrap up with the last bit here,

1:02:27SPEAKERbut like, I mean, there's all this other stuff.

1:02:28SPEAKERI mean, we're not finance people,

1:02:30SPEAKERbut my understanding is like based on how badly

1:02:34SPEAKERthe Twitter debt situation gets and also how much

1:02:37SPEAKERthe value of Tesla stock continues to tank,

1:02:39SPEAKERlike there are scenarios where he can be forced

1:02:42SPEAKERto put up more of his Tesla shares as further collateral

1:02:45SPEAKERin this loan, like it's a gigantic mess.

1:02:49SPEAKERLike this whole thing is just like astonishing to watch.

1:02:53SPEAKER- There's also the, hey,

1:02:58SPEAKERthis is impacting his other businesses, presumably.

1:03:01SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:03:01SPEAKER- Like he's going to get more,

1:03:03SPEAKERhe's going to like the FTC is going to get involved,

1:03:05SPEAKERit seems like, like there's other entanglements.

1:03:10SPEAKERAnd like, I got to imagine, I mean,

1:03:12SPEAKERmaybe the Tesla shareholder is like,

1:03:13SPEAKERhey, this is actually pretty good.

1:03:14SPEAKERWe want him out of here, not paying attention to us

1:03:16SPEAKERfor a little bit, it'll help the company,

1:03:17SPEAKERbut it doesn't seem like that from the stock price.

1:03:19SPEAKER- Oh, I mean, Tesla's lost over 50% of its value

1:03:22SPEAKERsince January.

1:03:24SPEAKER- Yeah, it seems bad.

1:03:25SPEAKER- Yeah, there is no way to read the tea leaves

1:03:27SPEAKERand figure out where Twitter's got.

1:03:29SPEAKERLike again, you could not write this shit.

1:03:31SPEAKERLike you would get laughed out of the room

1:03:32SPEAKERif you tried to write a story about this.

1:03:34SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:03:35SPEAKER- And yet it's happening and there's no way to predict

1:03:36SPEAKERwhat's going to happen next, but.

1:03:38SPEAKER- What are the, okay, so if you want to know more

1:03:41SPEAKERabout this, Casey Newton, Mike Isaac and Mike Masnick

1:03:44SPEAKERare all doing really good reporting around it.

1:03:46SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:03:47SPEAKER- Casey Newton writes a newsletter called Platformer,

1:03:51SPEAKERused to be at New York Times.

1:03:53SPEAKERMike Isaac is at New York Times and Mike Masnick

1:03:56SPEAKERis at Tech Dirt, all good sources.

1:03:59SPEAKER- Yes, so the last little bit I wanted to go through here

1:04:02SPEAKERreal quick is like, what are the feasible

1:04:04SPEAKERTwitter replacements?

1:04:06SPEAKER- Oh, hey Brad, what's your Mastodon?

1:04:10SPEAKER- Gee, let me remember what instance I signed up on.

1:04:14SPEAKERWait, do I, I'm not sure I want to throw it out there yet.

1:04:16SPEAKERI'm not sure if I'm serious about using it.

1:04:18SPEAKEROh, whatever, it's, do they start with an @?

1:04:22SPEAKER- It starts with an @.

1:04:23SPEAKER- Okay, and then there's also the @ instance.

1:04:25SPEAKER- It's double @.

1:04:26SPEAKER- I'm @radshoemaker@mastodon.content.town.

1:04:29SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:04:30SPEAKER- But I've literally never used it.

1:04:32SPEAKER- You posted that you were buying socks or something,

1:04:34SPEAKERI think.

1:04:35SPEAKER- I posted, I posted eating a sandwich

1:04:36SPEAKERbecause that is the canonical first tweet.

1:04:38SPEAKER- No, my first tweet was about mouse reviews.

1:04:40SPEAKER- That was, that was, okay.

1:04:42SPEAKERYeah, but.

1:04:44SPEAKER- Oh, you're saying that was Ev's first tweet.

1:04:47SPEAKER- Oh, was it?

1:04:48SPEAKERI just, in my mind, like that's very 2007, 2008 Twitter use

1:04:52SPEAKERwas just you post like eating a sandwich.

1:04:53SPEAKER- Here's what you're doing.

1:04:56SPEAKER- So yeah, like I made a little list here.

1:04:58SPEAKERMastodon is an open source, essentially Twitter.

1:05:02SPEAKER- It's a Fediverse front end.

1:05:04SPEAKER- Yeah, so it runs on a federated instance model,

1:05:07SPEAKERmeaning that anybody can set up their own instance

1:05:09SPEAKERof Mastodon, federated to other instances that they want,

1:05:14SPEAKERand then you will get the traffic from those other instances

1:05:19SPEAKERfiltering into your feed.

1:05:20SPEAKER- Yep.

1:05:23SPEAKER- There are all kinds of issues around it.

1:05:25SPEAKER- Everybody hosts their own instances is the big issue.

1:05:28SPEAKERAnd it's a little heavy as a hosting.

1:05:31SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, it's kind of unpredictable,

1:05:33SPEAKERlike which instances are gonna be connected

1:05:34SPEAKERto which other instances.

1:05:35SPEAKERThere are privacy issues around like people

1:05:37SPEAKERthat run the instances have more access

1:05:39SPEAKERto user data than they should right now.

1:05:41SPEAKER- Like I could, like we wouldn't do this,

1:05:43SPEAKERbut we can read, you shouldn't use DMS on Mastodon.

1:05:46SPEAKERThat's the DLDR for right now.

1:05:47SPEAKER- Yes, the instance operator can read the DMS

1:05:49SPEAKERof everybody on the instance, which is not.

1:05:51SPEAKER- Incoming and outgoing.

1:05:52SPEAKER- Yes.

1:05:54SPEAKERIt's also, you know, like it is, I mean,

1:05:56SPEAKERit kind of broadly looks like Twitter

1:05:58SPEAKERfrom about eight years ago.

1:06:00SPEAKER- It looks like TweetDeck.

1:06:01SPEAKER- Yeah, kind of, but like it generally the interface,

1:06:04SPEAKERlike it's got the kind of typical open source

1:06:07SPEAKERUX deficiencies in a lot of ways.

1:06:10SPEAKERLike it's been really telling watching people try to,

1:06:14SPEAKERyou know, leave Twitter in mass and figure out

1:06:16SPEAKERwhere they're going and a whole bunch of people

1:06:18SPEAKERimmediately bouncing back onto Twitter going like,

1:06:20SPEAKERwell, I'm never messing with Mastodon again.

1:06:21SPEAKERThere's no way I can understand this.

1:06:23SPEAKER- Well, okay, and then the other thing is

1:06:25SPEAKERbecause people don't, most people aren't spinning up

1:06:28SPEAKERtheir own instances to host their stuff.

1:06:30SPEAKERSo everybody's going on the popular big public instances

1:06:35SPEAKERlike Mastodon.social and stuff like that.

1:06:37SPEAKERAnd as a result, those are really, really overloaded

1:06:40SPEAKERand it's really slow.

1:06:42SPEAKER- Right, like it's just, it's not been a good experience

1:06:44SPEAKERfor a lot of people for pretty obvious reasons.

1:06:47SPEAKER- It's pretty good on the one that only you and I are on.

1:06:49SPEAKER- Yes, I agree.

1:06:50SPEAKER- We should open that up though.

1:06:52SPEAKER- Yeah, cohost.org.

1:06:55SPEAKER- Yeah, cohost.

1:06:56SPEAKER- Been seeing people talk about, I mean,

1:06:57SPEAKERI made an account on cohost a few months ago

1:06:59SPEAKERand then never touched it again, but people have been

1:07:01SPEAKERtalking about it more and more.

1:07:04SPEAKER- Cohost is interesting.

1:07:05SPEAKERIt seems like people who liked Twitter and Tumblr

1:07:08SPEAKERkind of smashed them up and made one thing

1:07:10SPEAKERthat was a little bit of both.

1:07:12SPEAKER- That's exactly how I describe it,

1:07:13SPEAKERis it's the kind of follow and feed model of Twitter,

1:07:17SPEAKERbut with the post format of Tumblr.

1:07:20SPEAKER- Also Tumblr had a follow and feed model.

1:07:21SPEAKER- Yeah, I know it did, I know it did, but like,

1:07:25SPEAKERthat stuff is a little more central to Twitter.

1:07:27SPEAKERBut the point is though, the post can be as big as you want

1:07:30SPEAKERand often are quite big from what I've seen.

1:07:33SPEAKER- Yeah, there's walls of text there.

1:07:37SPEAKERI don't know, I have a cohost account too.

1:07:39SPEAKERI know, I also, disclosure, I also know some of the people

1:07:42SPEAKERwho make cohost.

1:07:46SPEAKERI like the idea of what they're doing.

1:07:49SPEAKERThey said they're not gonna take money from anybody ever,

1:07:51SPEAKERor venture money, and they're funding it

1:07:56SPEAKERon like basically make donations,

1:07:58SPEAKERyou get access to some goofy features, some fun stuff,

1:08:02SPEAKERif you give them 50 bucks a year.

1:08:03SPEAKER- Yeah, and I think eventually it's in the roadmap

1:08:06SPEAKERto allow users to take kind of tips,

1:08:10SPEAKERlike donations, contributions from other followers,

1:08:13SPEAKERand I assume they'll take a small cut of that.

1:08:15SPEAKER- Knowing the folks who are involved,

1:08:17SPEAKERthat makes sense to me.

1:08:19SPEAKER- But it seems like their hearts are very much

1:08:21SPEAKERin the right place about what they're going for.

1:08:23SPEAKER- Yeah, there were some TOS issues,

1:08:25SPEAKERbut I actually haven't paid enough attention

1:08:27SPEAKERto get into there.

1:08:27SPEAKERKnowing some of the folks involved,

1:08:29SPEAKERI'm fairly confident that it's, yeah, I don't know.

1:08:33SPEAKERI don't know what the issues are.

1:08:35SPEAKERI don't really care.

1:08:36SPEAKER- Yeah, no, no, I mean, again, I think,

1:08:40SPEAKERit seems very much on the up and up,

1:08:42SPEAKERlike it also, it's fairly idealistic,

1:08:43SPEAKERand whether that can survive the Rickers of our hell world.

1:08:48SPEAKER- Yeah. - Perpetuity, who can say?

1:08:50SPEAKER- Like it's, the thing that it's hard,

1:08:53SPEAKERlike Twitter got to where it is now

1:08:54SPEAKERbecause of a 15-year process that it like of going,

1:08:59SPEAKERlike it was forged in flame, right?

1:09:02SPEAKERAnd I think any of these,

1:09:04SPEAKERMastodon has been through that.

1:09:05SPEAKERCo-host is starting to see that.

1:09:08SPEAKERYou know, the other things that didn't make it,

1:09:10SPEAKERthe peaches and the, what was the one

1:09:12SPEAKERthat was just for friends? - Oh, peach.

1:09:13SPEAKERPeach.

1:09:14SPEAKER- What was, Path.

1:09:17SPEAKER- Oh, I don't know, I've never even heard of Path.

1:09:18SPEAKER- Oh, Path was good.

1:09:19SPEAKERPath was like, Path's whole pitch was what if Twitter,

1:09:22SPEAKERbut for like the 10 people you actually are friends with.

1:09:25SPEAKERAnd it was like a place that you could post your,

1:09:29SPEAKERhey, I'm gonna go to the blah, blah, blah,

1:09:31SPEAKERthe corgi day or whatever at the beach.

1:09:33SPEAKERDo anybody wanna come down?

1:09:34SPEAKER- Does peach still exist?

1:09:35SPEAKER- Peach has gone long gone, dude.

1:09:40SPEAKERAnd then the last thing is the Blue Sky AT Pro.

1:09:42SPEAKEROkay, that's not the last thing.

1:09:43SPEAKERThere's a bunch, there's like this Project Mushroom thing.

1:09:45SPEAKERThere's a bunch of other stuff.

1:09:46SPEAKER- Oh, I haven't even heard of, are there others?

1:09:49SPEAKER- Yeah, Project Mushroom is spun off of another company.

1:09:52SPEAKERI can't remember what the other company does,

1:09:53SPEAKERbut I haven't really get into that,

1:09:54SPEAKERso I don't know what it is.

1:09:55SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, presumably there are going to be

1:09:57SPEAKERa bunch of other potential competitors popping up,

1:10:00SPEAKERlike some tech journalists like Kara Swisher

1:10:03SPEAKERhave been like hinting very obliquely at something

1:10:06SPEAKERin the works that sounds like a competitor to Twitter,

1:10:09SPEAKERbut they've been so vague about it

1:10:11SPEAKERthat it's hard to know if it's anything or not.

1:10:13SPEAKER- Hey, Brad, do you know how you picked the Super Bowl

1:10:16SPEAKERbefore the first kickoff of the season?

1:10:19SPEAKER- How's that?

1:10:19SPEAKER- Well, there's only a limited number of Twitter,

1:10:22SPEAKERof football teams in the NFL, and you just post,

1:10:24SPEAKERI think so-and-so is going to win for each team,

1:10:27SPEAKERand then you delete all the ones that lose.

1:10:29SPEAKER- I see, okay.

1:10:30SPEAKER- So anyway.

1:10:32SPEAKER- Yeah, the point is there's other stuff in the rumor mill,

1:10:34SPEAKERbut who knows what that stuff is,

1:10:35SPEAKERbut Blue Sky seems like the other thing

1:10:37SPEAKERworth mentioning here that seems

1:10:40SPEAKERpotentially very interesting,

1:10:43SPEAKERmaybe if not for the involvement of Jack Dorsey,

1:10:46SPEAKERbut everything else sounds like it might be promising.

1:10:50SPEAKERIt started as an RD project under Twitter

1:10:55SPEAKERessentially to create a unique protocol to run Twitter on.

1:10:58SPEAKER- This to me sounds like, "Hey, we need an AWS.

1:11:02SPEAKERWe need to unify the backend for this."

1:11:06SPEAKER- So I don't know if that analogy fully holds

1:11:09SPEAKER'cause AWS is entirely controlled by Amazon.

1:11:12SPEAKER- That's true.

1:11:14SPEAKER- So I looked through their documentation a little bit.

1:11:15SPEAKERThey spun it off.

1:11:16SPEAKERIt was an R&D thing at Twitter

1:11:18SPEAKERthat then spun off into a public benefit LLC.

1:11:21SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:11:21SPEAKER- They have documentation up about the spec of the protocol

1:11:24SPEAKERthat they're still hammering out.

1:11:26SPEAKERI haven't seen this said.

1:11:28SPEAKERThey have a blog, but I don't know if,

1:11:30SPEAKERdoes this end in an RFC being submitted to the IETF?

1:11:33SPEAKERAre they actually that serious

1:11:35SPEAKERabout making this an open protocol?

1:11:36SPEAKERThat's what they say.

1:11:37SPEAKER- I think this ends with just it petering out

1:11:40SPEAKERand nothing ever happening.

1:11:41SPEAKER- Yeah, well, I'm not talking about the reality

1:11:43SPEAKERof how it plays out.

1:11:44SPEAKERI'm just saying like, is that their goal?

1:11:46SPEAKER- Yeah, I think it'd probably be the W3C, right?

1:11:50SPEAKER- I think it's the IETF that ratifies that stuff, I believe,

1:11:54SPEAKERbut I could be wrong.

1:11:55SPEAKER- Wait, are they saying it's like an HTTP-style protocol?

1:11:58SPEAKER- Yes, they are building what they are building

1:12:00SPEAKERis called the authenticated transport protocol.

1:12:02SPEAKERSo ATP, or I think it's, I mean,

1:12:05SPEAKERthe URL prefix is AT colon slash slash.

1:12:10SPEAKERBut what they're promising,

1:12:12SPEAKERwhat they are pitching is that it's an open protocol.

1:12:16SPEAKERIt sounds a lot like Mastodon,

1:12:17SPEAKERexcept it will be an open protocol

1:12:18SPEAKERand not just one code base like Mastodon is.

1:12:22SPEAKER- The idea is that Mastodon can connect anything as well.

1:12:25SPEAKER- Okay, I didn't know that.

1:12:26SPEAKERSo maybe it's even more like Mastodon than I thought.

1:12:28SPEAKERLike it also, here's another part

1:12:31SPEAKERwhere maybe some skepticism is warranted.

1:12:33SPEAKERLike the pitch actually sounds quite a bit

1:12:35SPEAKERlike the multiverse, but for social media,

1:12:37SPEAKERbecause some of the pitch they're making is like,

1:12:40SPEAKERso essentially what they're saying is multiple platforms

1:12:43SPEAKERcan be built on the same protocol and then inter-operate,

1:12:46SPEAKERbut they can each have like their own sorting algorithms

1:12:48SPEAKERand blah, blah, blah.

1:12:49SPEAKERBut what they're saying is like,

1:12:52SPEAKERoh, your account will be portable

1:12:53SPEAKERand your followers will be portable.

1:12:54SPEAKERSo you could just like move your account

1:12:56SPEAKERto another, to a competitor's service

1:12:58SPEAKERif you're not happy. - That sounds great.

1:12:59SPEAKERThat sounds fantastic.

1:13:00SPEAKERI would love to move my account

1:13:01SPEAKERto another service right now.

1:13:03SPEAKER- So, well, right.

1:13:04SPEAKERSo like if this had been like concepted 30 years ago

1:13:07SPEAKERwhen a lot of other protocols were coming about like this,

1:13:09SPEAKERI would, it would be awesome.

1:13:11SPEAKERLike now the way the internet and the tech business is now,

1:13:14SPEAKERI don't know for sure if it's fully trustworthy or not,

1:13:18SPEAKERbut like what they're saying sounds interesting.

1:13:22SPEAKER- It's, this seems,

1:13:28SPEAKERhonestly, my reaction to this is it seems like

1:13:30SPEAKERwhen people who are making games and NFTs

1:13:33SPEAKERand doing blockchain stuff say,

1:13:34SPEAKERhey, you'll be able to move your game skins

1:13:36SPEAKERfrom one game to the other.

1:13:38SPEAKERAnd I'm like, that's not, that's really hard to do, man.

1:13:40SPEAKERThat seems really complicated from the bit

1:13:42SPEAKERthat I know about game development, so.

1:13:45SPEAKER- So I think that's, that's probably the actual way

1:13:47SPEAKERto think about this is, is this HTTP or is it Bitcoin?

1:13:53SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:13:54SPEAKER- I'm not sure which it actually is.

1:13:55SPEAKERLike they are, they're making,

1:13:56SPEAKERthey're making it sound like the former,

1:13:59SPEAKERbut that remains to be seen.

1:14:02SPEAKER- Then the, so, I mean, this is kind of what the meta,

1:14:06SPEAKER'cause like the idea of Mastodon,

1:14:08SPEAKERwhen you join a Mastodon instance,

1:14:09SPEAKERyou're not supposed to say,

1:14:10SPEAKERhey, I'm really excited to be here on Mastodon.

1:14:12SPEAKERYou're joining the Fediverse

1:14:13SPEAKERand the Mastodon instance is just the way you view that.

1:14:16SPEAKERIt also is conveniently the only way you can view that

1:14:18SPEAKERright now that I'm aware of.

1:14:20SPEAKERThe other, the other, other, other thing

1:14:23SPEAKERthat I don't know why, why they would do it,

1:14:25SPEAKERbut people were, there was a day or two

1:14:27SPEAKERwhere people were talking about Zuckerberg

1:14:29SPEAKERspinning up a text fork of Instagram,

1:14:34SPEAKERdubbed Instafeed that's just Instagram without the pictures.

1:14:40SPEAKERAnd I like, given the trouble Twitter's had

1:14:43SPEAKERmaking money on Twitter,

1:14:44SPEAKERI don't know why anybody would like mimic that business.

1:14:48SPEAKERBut anyway, yeah, it's, it's a, it's an interesting,

1:14:50SPEAKERit's an interesting time.

1:14:52SPEAKER- Yes, it certainly is.

1:14:54SPEAKER- So I started a blog this week.

1:14:55SPEAKERI decided I'm going to own my content.

1:14:57SPEAKER- Dude, I have been, I've been thinking for a very,

1:14:59SPEAKERlike a couple of years now that I really miss

1:15:02SPEAKERthe way the internet used to be, meaning every platform

1:15:05SPEAKERwas not proprietary and controlled by a corporation.

1:15:08SPEAKER- Yep.

1:15:09SPEAKER- That like, that's why I get excited

1:15:10SPEAKERwhen I hear the word protocol, because like,

1:15:13SPEAKERthat's what it was in the nineties, right?

1:15:14SPEAKERLike there were a bajillion IRC servers out there

1:15:18SPEAKERbecause it was just an open protocol

1:15:19SPEAKERand anybody could spin one up.

1:15:20SPEAKER- Yep.

1:15:21SPEAKER- You know, Usenet, you name it.

1:15:24SPEAKERLike I, I miss the older, you know,

1:15:27SPEAKERit wasn't democratized in a lot of ways, but in,

1:15:29SPEAKERbut in the sense of, again, corporate control,

1:15:32SPEAKERit absolutely was.

1:15:33SPEAKER- Yeah, well, if you want to find the blog,

1:15:34SPEAKERit's at shitty.blog.

1:15:37SPEAKER- Sorry, what?

1:15:38SPEAKER- I made a shitty blog.

1:15:39SPEAKERIt's at shitty.blog.

1:15:41SPEAKER- I didn't, I didn't know they allowed cursing in.

1:15:45SPEAKERI guess they did.

1:15:46SPEAKERThey don't care.

1:15:47SPEAKER- Of course they do.

1:15:47SPEAKER- In top, in domains?

1:15:49SPEAKER- Well no, .blog is not a naughty word.

1:15:51SPEAKER- No, no, no, you're right.

1:15:52SPEAKERNot, not, not the TLDs, but just in domain registration.

1:15:55SPEAKER- That's up to the registrar.

1:15:57SPEAKER- I guess so.

1:15:58SPEAKER- Yeah, it's, it's been fun.

1:15:59SPEAKERIt's been fun sending up a blog.

1:16:01SPEAKER- I haven't had a blog in a really long time.

1:16:02SPEAKERI got Twitter and I realized that Twitter

1:16:04SPEAKERimmediately made me lazy about like,

1:16:07SPEAKERwhy would I make a blog or a newsletter or whatever

1:16:09SPEAKERwhen I can just, you know,

1:16:10SPEAKERjam out something in the app on my phone and it's there.

1:16:13SPEAKER- Oh man.

1:16:15SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:16:15SPEAKER- This is your blog.

1:16:16SPEAKERLook at this.

1:16:17SPEAKER- This is a blog ass blog.

1:16:18SPEAKER- Is this just like a WordPress template?

1:16:19SPEAKER- It's a WordPress template.

1:16:21SPEAKERIt took about an hour to set up.

1:16:22SPEAKER- Man, I should do this.

1:16:23SPEAKERI went on a domain buying spree last year

1:16:26SPEAKERand I should use one of those.

1:16:27SPEAKER- Yeah, that's what I figured.

1:16:28SPEAKERI was like, hey, I have some domains.

1:16:30SPEAKERI, you know, another of the fine content

1:16:33SPEAKERfound content town family of websites.

1:16:36SPEAKERWe just started up a web ring.

1:16:38SPEAKERIf you want to do a blog, we'll set up a web ring and.

1:16:39SPEAKER- All right, I'm in.

1:16:40SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:16:41SPEAKER- It'll be like 2008 when I left GameSpot

1:16:43SPEAKERand we all started blog spot blogs

1:16:46SPEAKERthat we all posted to about half a dozen times

1:16:48SPEAKERand then a bit.

1:16:50SPEAKER- Oh, wow.

1:16:51SPEAKERWas that part of the,

1:16:52SPEAKER'cause that's what, that's what the wordsmith,

1:16:54SPEAKERthe AOL and gadget people did

1:16:56SPEAKERwhen they went to start the Verge

1:16:58SPEAKERwas they started a blog called This Is My Next

1:17:00SPEAKERthat ended up becoming The Verge.

1:17:02SPEAKER- Huh, interesting.

1:17:04SPEAKER- I feel like that was a thing that we did at that time.

1:17:06SPEAKERMaybe they did it because of you guys actually.

1:17:08SPEAKER'Cause I feel like Jeff, didn't Jeff do a blog?

1:17:11SPEAKERLike there was a thing that as people started coming over,

1:17:17SPEAKERyou all had standalone blogs too, right?

1:17:19SPEAKER- Yes.

1:17:20SPEAKER- There was a thing that was giant bomb,

1:17:21SPEAKERthat became giant bomb.

1:17:22SPEAKER- Oh, well that was, they started a little blog

1:17:24SPEAKERjust to post, to have something to post on

1:17:26SPEAKERwhile the actual site was being built.

1:17:28SPEAKER- Okay.

1:17:28SPEAKER- But here I am, here I am looking at my blog from 2008.

1:17:32SPEAKERThe very last thing I posted about was the,

1:17:37SPEAKERwas about Sarah Palin becoming the candidate.

1:17:39SPEAKER- But you didn't even post a, you didn't even post a,

1:17:41SPEAKER"Hey, here's the blog website I'm working at now, post."

1:17:45SPEAKER- Oh, I'm sorry, this was after I started there.

1:17:47SPEAKER- Oh, okay.

1:17:49SPEAKERYou're just keeping it real.

1:17:50SPEAKER- I guess I felt like I would keep blogging for a while

1:17:52SPEAKERafter I had a place to blog professionally.

1:17:54SPEAKER- It turns out when you have a place to blog professionally,

1:17:56SPEAKERit's pretty tiring.

1:17:57SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:17:59SPEAKER- I guess that'll do it for us today.

1:18:01SPEAKERSo I'm just posting, I'm posting shit

1:18:02SPEAKERthat I would normally post on Twitter

1:18:03SPEAKERin like a long thread there.

1:18:05SPEAKERAnd also pictures that I make with stable diffusion.

1:18:08SPEAKER- Shitty.blog is pretty good.

1:18:10SPEAKER- I mean, it's a shitty blog, man, what can I say?

1:18:12SPEAKERI feel like the expectations are managed.

1:18:15SPEAKER- Yeah, I think I'm moving from,

1:18:20SPEAKERI think I'm moving from a feeling of catastrophe

1:18:22SPEAKERand to be clear, like Twitter falling apart

1:18:24SPEAKERis a catastrophe for a lot of reasons.

1:18:26SPEAKER- It's bad, yeah.

1:18:27SPEAKER- It's served a lot of very good,

1:18:29SPEAKERnoble purposes for a lot of people

1:18:31SPEAKERand like to have that go away.

1:18:32SPEAKERAnd for the reasons it's going away is awful.

1:18:35SPEAKERI'm starting to feel some optimism now though,

1:18:37SPEAKERat the idea that like maybe something better can be built.

1:18:40SPEAKER- Yeah, well, and there's a freedom to starting new, right?

1:18:43SPEAKERLike I posted on Mastodon the other day

1:18:46SPEAKERthat I was excited to not be,

1:18:50SPEAKERto not have post something and get five people

1:18:54SPEAKERthat respond to everything with,

1:18:55SPEAKER"Hey, have you slapped anybody today?"

1:18:56SPEAKER- Right, yes.

1:18:58SPEAKER- That seems nice.

1:18:59SPEAKERIt's a unique problem specific to me, I realize, but.

1:19:01SPEAKER- Yeah, yeah, I guess what I mean is like at some point,

1:19:04SPEAKERthe feeling of loss will be replaced

1:19:06SPEAKERby the feeling of forward movement.

1:19:08SPEAKER- Yeah.

1:19:09SPEAKER- And that's a good thing ultimately, I hope.

1:19:11SPEAKER- Can I just say something about how fucking broken

1:19:15SPEAKERyou would have to be to want to be

1:19:16SPEAKERthe star of Twitter every day?

1:19:17SPEAKER- Man, I can't even.

1:19:19SPEAKER- Having had the tiniest taste of that, it's bad.

1:19:23SPEAKERYou don't want it, it's not a good feeling.

1:19:25SPEAKERI can't even tweet anymore, like I don't,

1:19:27SPEAKERI can't even, I have a hard time even participating.

1:19:30SPEAKERIt's social media at this point,

1:19:32SPEAKERlet alone having everybody looking at you.

1:19:36SPEAKER- Yeah, it's awful. - All right.

1:19:37SPEAKER- Anyway, that'll do it.

1:19:38SPEAKER- Yes.

1:19:40SPEAKER- We will be back next week

1:19:41SPEAKERwith another episode of the show.

1:19:41SPEAKERLet's thank our patrons, Brad,

1:19:43SPEAKER'cause it's the time of the show where we thank our patrons.

1:19:45SPEAKER- Let's, thank you, patrons.

1:19:46SPEAKER- Thank you, patrons.

1:19:48SPEAKERAs always, if you would like to support

1:19:49SPEAKERBrad Wilmeade at TechPod,

1:19:50SPEAKERwhich is a 100% listener supported show,

1:19:52SPEAKERyou can go to patreon.com/techpod.

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1:19:59SPEAKERyou can sign up to join the fabulous TechPod Discord,

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1:20:03SPEAKERto our exclusive patron episode every month.

1:20:05SPEAKERLast month, we talked about questions.

1:20:08SPEAKERWe did, no, no, we didn't.

1:20:09SPEAKERWhat did we talk about last month?

1:20:10SPEAKER- Last month, last week.

1:20:11SPEAKER- Last, well, last week, last month, same thing.

1:20:13SPEAKER- Last week, yeah, last week was questions.

1:20:15SPEAKER- Okay, you can get access to the patron episode

1:20:19SPEAKERor a multitude of other things.

1:20:21SPEAKERYou can find that at patreon.com/techpod.

1:20:25SPEAKERAnd as always, we would like to thank

1:20:28SPEAKERour executive producer tier patrons,

1:20:31SPEAKERincluding Paddle Creek Games, Makers of Fractured Veil,

1:20:33SPEAKERAndrew Slosky, Bunny Thorpe Snowfall Crimes.

1:20:37SPEAKERI wonder if it's snowing where Bunny Crimes is.

1:20:40SPEAKERJust Wedge, Joel Krauska, Twinkle Twinkie, and James Kamik.

1:20:43SPEAKEROh, wow, there's a waning on the novelty names.

1:20:47SPEAKERThat'll do it for us this week.

1:20:48SPEAKERThank you all for listening,

1:20:49SPEAKERand we will see you next week.

1:20:52SPEAKER(upbeat music)