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224

214: David Smith (Hobbyist)

2023-12-24 · 56:02

00:00SPEAKER- Hey, Kishore.

00:02SPEAKER- What's up, Will?

00:03SPEAKER- I learned a technical term this morning.

00:07SPEAKER- How technical?

00:08SPEAKER- Yeah, it's fairly self-explanatory,

00:10SPEAKERbut I'd never heard it before.

00:12SPEAKERIt's called an electrocution rescue pole.

00:16SPEAKER- Rescue pole?

00:17SPEAKER- Pole.

00:18SPEAKERDo you know what it's, do you, like, what would you,

00:20SPEAKERwhat does this, what does this put in your head

00:21SPEAKERwhen you think about it?

00:23SPEAKER- Weirdly, it puts into my head one of those PSAs

00:26SPEAKERafter the end of "G.I. Joe" where one of them comes up

00:29SPEAKERand is like, don't touch the downed electrical power line.

00:33SPEAKERI have this magic pole that will actually move it

00:36SPEAKERto the side of the road.

00:38SPEAKER- I just think about the stop all the downloading one,

00:40SPEAKERbut yeah, it's, you know, when you go to chemistry lab

00:42SPEAKERin college, you, like, learn about the eyewash station,

00:44SPEAKERyou learn about the emergency shower,

00:46SPEAKERyou learn about the fire bucket, all of the, you know,

00:48SPEAKERthe sand, the place where the broken glass goes,

00:51SPEAKERall of that stuff.

00:52SPEAKERWe didn't have an electrocution rescue pole.

00:55SPEAKERIt's apparently a pole that you use to knock somebody

00:58SPEAKERwho's gotten, like, grabbed themselves

01:00SPEAKERonto a high voltage source so you can knock them off of it

01:03SPEAKERthat's a non-conducting pole.

01:05SPEAKER- It's a baseball bat for helping people

01:07SPEAKERthat are getting electrocuted.

01:09SPEAKER- It's a long baseball bat.

01:10SPEAKERWe always used two by fours for that when I was a kid.

01:13SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean, the wood is right there.

01:16SPEAKERLike, what do you need a specialized pole for?

01:19SPEAKERIs it maybe it's, like, weighted well

01:21SPEAKERso you can really smack them with it?

01:23SPEAKER- Yeah, or maybe it has, like, a long end

01:24SPEAKERso you can, like, wedge them off.

01:26SPEAKERI don't know, like, when I was a kid,

01:29SPEAKERmy dad bought an embroidery machine

01:31SPEAKERthat used two-phase power from Japan.

01:33SPEAKERIt was, like, a 240-volt multi-phase power thing.

01:36SPEAKERAnd, you know, you could've hired an electrician

01:39SPEAKERto wire that up or you could've just done it yourself.

01:42SPEAKERAnd it was an old building that had fuses and stuff like that

01:44SPEAKERand when my dad was putting the fuses in,

01:45SPEAKERhe was like, okay, so here's what we're gonna do.

01:47SPEAKERI'm gonna stand on this two by four

01:49SPEAKERand then you're gonna hold this other long two by four

01:51SPEAKERand if I stop talking, you're gonna knock me hard enough

01:54SPEAKERto knock me off the wall and I was like,

01:56SPEAKERoh, I'm ready for this, let's go.

01:58SPEAKER- Festivus in your house really was a little bit different.

02:01SPEAKER- Look, growing up in the South and with a DIY aesthetic,

02:07SPEAKERsometimes things happen, sure.

02:09SPEAKER(upbeat music)

02:24SPEAKER(upbeat music)

02:37SPEAKER- Welcome to Brad and Will Made a Tech Bot, I'm Will.

02:41SPEAKER- I'm not Brad, I'm Kishore.

02:42SPEAKERThis is, how many times have I been here now, too many?

02:46SPEAKER- So I thought this was your fifth timer club.

02:48SPEAKERI thought we were gonna have to get you a jacket,

02:49SPEAKERbut we got one more, I think.

02:51SPEAKER- Oh my goodness, I am a four-timer.

02:54SPEAKER- Does that make me the Dan Aykroyd of this podcast?

02:57SPEAKERI have no status whatsoever,

03:00SPEAKERbut people have to put up with me.

03:02SPEAKER- So here's the question.

03:03SPEAKERWould you rather be the Dan Aykroyd or the Steve Martin?

03:06SPEAKER- Never the Dan Aykroyd.

03:07SPEAKERYou never wanna be the Dan Aykroyd.

03:09SPEAKERHave you heard Dan Aykroyd actually talk on any video

03:14SPEAKERabout his sincere beliefs?

03:16SPEAKERIt is horrifying.

03:18SPEAKER- Okay, I mean, look, of that first round,

03:20SPEAKERit's like, is he worse or is Chevy Chase worse?

03:24SPEAKER- Okay, let's be clear.

03:27SPEAKERI don't wanna hang out with Chevy Chase,

03:30SPEAKERbut I don't wanna be stuck

03:31SPEAKERin one of those holiday conversation catch-ups

03:34SPEAKERwith Dan Aykroyd.

03:34SPEAKER- Oh yeah, you don't want him to be the uncle.

03:36SPEAKER- One of the original real off the deep end UFO guys.

03:41SPEAKER- Oh, that's right, okay, okay.

03:43SPEAKERSo he's an Art Bell guy, though.

03:45SPEAKERHe's from back when it was funny and charming

03:47SPEAKERand not kinda creepy and scary.

03:49SPEAKER- Well, I think there were so few of them back

03:50SPEAKERat that point where you'd be like, oh, that's nice.

03:53SPEAKERThat's nice that you believe in this.

03:55SPEAKERNow it feels like a little too serious to entertain.

03:58SPEAKER- But okay, so at the same time,

04:00SPEAKERif he didn't have this deep personally held belief

04:02SPEAKERin the paranormal, we probably wouldn't have Ghostbusters.

04:05SPEAKER- This is true.

04:06SPEAKERBy the way, is this a deep dive about Ghostbusters?

04:08SPEAKERIs that what we're doing this week?

04:10SPEAKER- Wow, you're really good at this podcasting thing, Kishore.

04:13SPEAKERNo, this is our now annual year in science review.

04:19SPEAKERSo Brad's out, he's dealing with some personal stuff

04:22SPEAKERthis week and probably next week as well.

04:24SPEAKERSo we have a rotating host of guest hosts

04:29SPEAKERto come in and fill the Brad chair.

04:31SPEAKERSo Kishore, you're our Brad for this week.

04:33SPEAKER- I will do my best.

04:35SPEAKERI certainly do not have the man bun

04:38SPEAKERnor the endearing humility,

04:40SPEAKERbut I will try to deepen my voice.

04:42SPEAKER- I don't know how long the man bun's gonna last.

04:44SPEAKERIt might be short for the world, honestly.

04:46SPEAKERBut yeah, so last year we did this.

04:48SPEAKERPeople seem to really like it.

04:49SPEAKERWe were planning to bring you back anyway.

04:52SPEAKERAnd then Brad, we got to do it a little bit earlier

04:55SPEAKERthan we kind of had thought we were going to.

04:57SPEAKERAnd we're here to talk about science.

05:01SPEAKERKishore, you're one of my favorite science communicators.

05:04SPEAKERFor folks who don't know Kishore,

05:06SPEAKERKishore Hari's one of our favorite science communicators

05:08SPEAKERand has done everything from hosting nerd nights

05:11SPEAKERfor years and years and years in San Francisco

05:13SPEAKERto other stuff that I probably, I don't know.

05:17SPEAKERYou did stuff on, you did things with things

05:20SPEAKERand got in trouble and sometimes it was good trouble

05:23SPEAKERand it was a good time.

05:25SPEAKER- I'm at the stage of my career where I can say

05:27SPEAKERI have scienced and just use it as a verb

05:29SPEAKERand feel pretty comfortable with it.

05:32SPEAKERThis is one of my favorite shows of the year

05:34SPEAKERbecause we get to talk about the year that was

05:36SPEAKERand there was some incredible stuff.

05:38SPEAKERThere was some harrowing stuff

05:39SPEAKERand there was a lot of stuff that made you go,

05:42SPEAKERhmm, in the middle.

05:44SPEAKER- So, okay, so I guess let's start with the one

05:46SPEAKERthat made me go, hmm, in the middle.

05:48SPEAKER'Cause I didn't actually know,

05:52SPEAKERwhen you put this one on the list, I didn't know what it was.

05:54SPEAKERI had to go look it up and then I was like, oh!

05:58SPEAKER- Which one is that?

05:59SPEAKER- I'm just starting at the top.

06:00SPEAKERThis is the GLP-1 receptor agonists, which is a new class.

06:03SPEAKERWell, it's not a new class, it's a new application

06:05SPEAKERfor an old class of drugs, right?

06:06SPEAKER- It's not a new class.

06:08SPEAKERThis is a glucogen peptide receptor agonists

06:12SPEAKERand you will better know them as the new weight loss drugs

06:17SPEAKERthat have hit the market.

06:18SPEAKERYou probably heard of Ozempic and Wegovy at this point,

06:21SPEAKERwhich are the marketing names for a class of drugs

06:26SPEAKERthat are trying to mimic the behavior

06:29SPEAKERof a naturally occurring hormone in our body.

06:32SPEAKERThese class of drugs were first sort of discovered

06:37SPEAKERdeveloped in the late '90s and the first one was approved

06:41SPEAKERin the early 2000s to treat type 2 diabetes.

06:45SPEAKERThey essentially work by mimicking a hormone.

06:49SPEAKERIt's called GLP-1.

06:51SPEAKERIt's an incretin hormone that's produced

06:54SPEAKERby the L cells in your intestinal wall.

06:57SPEAKERGenerally, this hormone is produced after food intake,

07:01SPEAKERwithin minutes after food intake.

07:03SPEAKERAnd the receptors for this hormone are found

07:06SPEAKERthroughout the body, including your brain, intestine,

07:10SPEAKERand pancreas.

07:12SPEAKERThere are three kind of crucial functions

07:14SPEAKERthat this hormone seems to have,

07:17SPEAKERbut we suspect there's a whole lot more

07:19SPEAKERthat we haven't even touched upon.

07:21SPEAKERSo first is in the hypothalamus,

07:24SPEAKERit seems to have an effect on your sense of satiety.

07:28SPEAKERSo how full you feel after eating a meal.

07:32SPEAKERIt also stimulates secretion of insulin in the pancreas.

07:37SPEAKERAnd lastly, and this is not super well understood,

07:41SPEAKERit seems to somehow slow the movement and processing

07:44SPEAKERof food in your stomach and small intestine.

07:47SPEAKERLike literally slows the process

07:49SPEAKERof food moving through there.

07:52SPEAKERSo initially, because of how it stimulated secretion

07:55SPEAKERof insulin in the pancreas,

07:57SPEAKERthis was used as a type 2 diabetes drug.

08:00SPEAKERAnd most often it was developed to be taken daily

08:04SPEAKERand to kind of regulate sugar levels within your body.

08:10SPEAKERAnd then over the past few years, about like 2015,

08:13SPEAKERpeople were like, "We're noticing weight loss

08:16SPEAKER"in these people on this drug

08:19SPEAKER"for an extended period of time."

08:21SPEAKER- That's when the pharmaceutical people's eyes

08:23SPEAKERturned into dollar signs, I assume,

08:25SPEAKERor something around that? - Yeah, and it goes

08:27SPEAKERlike full like Bugs Bunny, like ayuga.

08:30SPEAKERAnd they started to really think like,

08:33SPEAKER"How can we take advantage of this?"

08:37SPEAKERAnd they started to reformulate this GLP-1 drug

08:42SPEAKERto kind of take advantage of some characteristics.

08:47SPEAKERSo the drug, and I'll talk about semaglutude,

08:50SPEAKERwhich is Wegovy, it's not a perfect match

08:56SPEAKERto the peptide hormone.

08:58SPEAKERIt's about a 90% match.

08:59SPEAKERIt has some like structural differences.

09:01SPEAKERSome of which are intentional.

09:03SPEAKERSo I mentioned GLP-1, it breaks down in your body,

09:06SPEAKERand it's secreted in your body very soon after eating.

09:10SPEAKERAnd then it breaks down in your body

09:12SPEAKERbetween one and a half and five minutes

09:14SPEAKERas it's half-life in your body.

09:16SPEAKERSo it's really quick.

09:17SPEAKER- And is that because of the way it binds

09:19SPEAKERonto the receptors, it gets broken in pieces or something?

09:21SPEAKERIs that the mechanism? - Yes, and there's also

09:23SPEAKERsome like enzymes that quickly break it down.

09:26SPEAKERLike it gets sort of more complicated as we get into that,

09:29SPEAKERbut there's a set of processes in your body

09:31SPEAKERthat are designed to break down that hormone pretty quickly.

09:36SPEAKERWhat they did is they designed this drug

09:39SPEAKERto reversibly bind to albumin,

09:43SPEAKERjust a compound that's throughout your body,

09:45SPEAKERand it essentially doubled its half-life in your system.

09:50SPEAKERAnd what they did is with this like reformulation,

09:53SPEAKERthey got to a clinical trial.

09:55SPEAKERThey gave, I think it was about 3,000 people

09:59SPEAKERsome magnitude once a week over a 16-month period,

10:03SPEAKERand they saw 15% weight loss in this.

10:06SPEAKERThe placebo group and the group that was taking the drug

10:10SPEAKERwere both given like coaching on weight loss as well.

10:14SPEAKERAnd so the placebo group lost like 2 1/2% of their weight,

10:18SPEAKERbut a 15% weight loss in 16 months is just massive.

10:22SPEAKERIt is just sort of off the scale.

10:25SPEAKERAnd then they redid the trial,

10:27SPEAKERwhere at halfway through the trial, about like 20 weeks,

10:31SPEAKERthey switched people off some magnitude

10:33SPEAKERand actually saw the effect.

10:35SPEAKERAnd they saw like a weight gain resume

10:38SPEAKERin some of those people.

10:40SPEAKERSo it kind of has indicated to a lot of folks

10:43SPEAKERthat you have to constantly be on this drug

10:46SPEAKERor its weight loss benefits to take effect.

10:51SPEAKER- It's expensive.

10:53SPEAKERIt's about, right, it's about, I think,

10:57SPEAKERbetween 1,500 and $2,000 a month in the U.S. right now

11:02SPEAKERfor WeGoV, but there's more of these drugs

11:06SPEAKERcoming on the market in the coming year,

11:07SPEAKERso we expect that number to hopefully come down

11:12SPEAKERin the years ahead.

11:14SPEAKERBut the scientific benefit here is super clear.

11:18SPEAKERThat much weight loss in that short of a period of time

11:22SPEAKERis incredible.

11:23SPEAKERThe side effects, which do exist, are mostly manageable.

11:27SPEAKERThey're like nausea, diarrhea, that kind of GI upset.

11:33SPEAKER- Yeah.

11:34SPEAKER- And we're seeing some long-term benefits

11:36SPEAKERtowards heart disease and reducing stroke risk

11:40SPEAKERfrom these drugs as well.

11:42SPEAKERAnd so, yes, we need to study this-

11:44SPEAKER- Is this just the obesity reduction,

11:46SPEAKERor is it, you can't tell, right?

11:48SPEAKER- Hard to tell at this point.

11:50SPEAKERSo it's probably a bit of column A and a bit of column B.

11:53SPEAKERThere's probably something going on as well.

11:56SPEAKERAt this point, we obviously wanna study this

11:58SPEAKERover a longer period of time to make sure

12:01SPEAKERthere's no long-term effects, since people are gonna have

12:04SPEAKERto stay on this drug for the benefits to persist.

12:08SPEAKERBut this is just a complete game changer

12:12SPEAKERfor these to hit the market.

12:14SPEAKER- So you said they're prescribing this

12:15SPEAKERto a lot of people in the U.S., it is expensive,

12:18SPEAKERbut I mean, it's the cost of treating all the obesity

12:23SPEAKERrelated stuff over the long term, too.

12:25SPEAKERIs this for people who are seriously obese,

12:27SPEAKERor is this like, this doesn't seem

12:28SPEAKERlike a casual weight loss thing?

12:31SPEAKER- So the clinical trial was done on people

12:33SPEAKERwith BMIs over 30, so these are people

12:36SPEAKERthat are not just by the definition obese,

12:40SPEAKERbut they're on the higher end of the kind of obese spectrum.

12:44SPEAKER- Yeah.

12:45SPEAKER- So they really tested on people that really need

12:48SPEAKERthe weight loss for the other effects.

12:52SPEAKERThere have been some independent studies that looked at,

12:55SPEAKERlike, well, how much is this being prescribed at this point?

12:58SPEAKERAnd looking through electronic health records

13:01SPEAKERfrom the past year, they noted that somewhere around,

13:05SPEAKERa little more than one to 1 1/2% of Americans

13:09SPEAKERgot a prescription for one of these drugs last year.

13:13SPEAKERNow, some of these people are getting prescriptions

13:16SPEAKERfor these drugs for type 2 diabetes,

13:17SPEAKERbut that is just a massive number.

13:21SPEAKERSo there is anticipation that this is gonna have

13:24SPEAKERa significant impact.

13:26SPEAKERIf this does continue on the trajectory from the science

13:29SPEAKERthat we see these long-term benefits

13:33SPEAKERwithout the long-term risk,

13:36SPEAKERthis is gonna be just a massive story for years to come.

13:39SPEAKER- Well, and presumably, like,

13:42SPEAKERokay, so there's two interesting things to me.

13:44SPEAKEROne is that this protein is absorbed

13:47SPEAKERin so many different places that it hits so many,

13:49SPEAKERI mean, this is, to me, kind of one of the stories

13:52SPEAKERof biochemistry in the last 10 years

13:54SPEAKERis the thing that we thought hit one place,

13:56SPEAKERit turns out, hits 45 different places

13:58SPEAKERfrom your head to your feet, right?

14:01SPEAKERAnd it's interesting, like, this is why there's,

14:05SPEAKERthis is why we haven't seen magic bullets

14:06SPEAKERfor a lot of stuff, I think, right?

14:08SPEAKEROne of the reasons is it's always

14:10SPEAKERinfinitely more complicated than you think it is.

14:13SPEAKER- Yeah, as one of my astrophysicists friends says,

14:18SPEAKERhe always goes, "Biology is gross and complicated."

14:22SPEAKERAnd he's not wrong.

14:25SPEAKER- So, okay, I guess let's move on to the next thing

14:29SPEAKERat this point is also in this kind of same category

14:32SPEAKERof things that are really complicated

14:35SPEAKERand we're seeing some incredible breakthroughs

14:39SPEAKERin the last, like, 12 months, 12 to 24 months on.

14:44SPEAKERAnd it's kind of one of those things,

14:45SPEAKERwe talked about CRISPR last year,

14:46SPEAKERmaybe the year before, I can't remember,

14:49SPEAKERbut it kind of, like, this stuff is following on from that.

14:52SPEAKERIt's following on from the CRISPR work,

14:53SPEAKERwhich let us edit and build DNA sequences,

14:57SPEAKERand then the mRNA vaccines that we use to treat COVID,

15:00SPEAKERor to help prevent COVID.

15:03SPEAKER- Yeah, so this year, I think it was sort of a milestone year

15:07SPEAKERwhere we saw the FDA approve the first CRISPR treatment

15:13SPEAKERfor humans, and this is for sickle cell anemia.

15:16SPEAKERSickle cell anemia is a genetic-linked disease

15:20SPEAKERthat causes the development of misshapen blood cells,

15:26SPEAKERincredibly painful, really deleterious to long-term health.

15:33SPEAKERAnd a new drug called Cascavi was the first FDA-approved

15:39SPEAKERtherapy using this CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing technology

15:44SPEAKERto treat sickle cell patients.

15:49SPEAKERIt is now approved, the treatment is expensive,

15:53SPEAKERand expensive doesn't even begin to cover

15:56SPEAKERhow expensive it is.

15:58SPEAKERIt is like the cost of a house, kind of expensive.

16:01SPEAKER- Is it personalized for each person that is,

16:03SPEAKERthe treatment, or is it just that expensive?

16:05SPEAKER- It's not fully personalized in that way,

16:08SPEAKERwhere each person gets a completely different version.

16:13SPEAKERBut it is, I mean, it's gene editing,

16:17SPEAKERso in that way, it is 100% personalized.

16:21SPEAKER- Is this the first time that's happened?

16:23SPEAKERIs this the first time we've had a gene editing?

16:25SPEAKER- Yeah, for humans, there's been some other gene therapies

16:29SPEAKERand treatments that are personalized and have been hit trials.

16:36SPEAKERThis is at approval for a significant population,

16:39SPEAKERso this is outside of that ultra-rare case that we've seen.

16:46SPEAKERAnd at this point, we've seen approval,

16:50SPEAKERlike European markets have indicated approval for this too,

16:54SPEAKERso this is going to be something that goes worldwide.

16:57SPEAKERThe difference between this and a drug, this is a cure.

17:02SPEAKER- Yeah, so you do this and you're done.

17:04SPEAKER- Yeah, it's not, and there's some great articles,

17:07SPEAKERI think Stat had an article with one of the patients

17:12SPEAKERwho really expressed a lot of ambivalence about it,

17:16SPEAKERbecause it is not a simple treatment,

17:18SPEAKERand you have to be in the hospital

17:19SPEAKERfor an extended period of time.

17:21SPEAKERSo it's not an easy pathway to go through,

17:28SPEAKERbut it is a cure, and rarely,

17:31SPEAKERrarely do we ever talk about a cure.

17:34SPEAKER- Yeah, especially for something

17:35SPEAKERthat is a genetic hereditary disease, like sickle cell.

17:40SPEAKERThe other one that came up with this is the melanoma vaccine.

17:45SPEAKERIs vaccine the right, it's like an mRNA vaccine

17:48SPEAKERthat supplements additional current treatments for melanoma

17:53SPEAKERthat is tailored, and I think they sequence the tumor,

17:57SPEAKERthey sequence the person, and then they build,

18:01SPEAKERthey look for key markers and they build the cocktail

18:03SPEAKERoff of, I think, 40 or 50 markers that they found

18:08SPEAKERthat are predominant in malignant melanomas,

18:11SPEAKERwhich I thought was fascinating.

18:13SPEAKER- Yeah, this idea of personalized medicine,

18:15SPEAKERwe've been talking about for,

18:17SPEAKERgoing back to the Clinton administration,

18:19SPEAKERis when we first started hearing about the idea

18:22SPEAKERof personalized medicine at scale in the US.

18:25SPEAKERBut now we're actually starting to see some realities of it.

18:28SPEAKERNow, I think we're gonna mostly see it in rare conditions

18:33SPEAKERfor the most part, because the smaller population,

18:37SPEAKERthere's like one genetic mutation to generally worry about.

18:41SPEAKERSo this isn't gonna hit like mainstream populations

18:45SPEAKERor mainstream chronic diseases anytime soon.

18:48SPEAKERBut the idea of this, that we've actually developed

18:51SPEAKERenough sophistication and data sets

18:53SPEAKERto actually do the kind of personalization

18:56SPEAKERthat we're talking about, is a massive step forward.

18:58SPEAKERI mean, the vaccine that you're talking about,

19:01SPEAKERthey're looking at like 34 different antigens in the tumor

19:06SPEAKERthat they're individually sort of looking at the variants

19:11SPEAKERin those antigens, and then using that

19:14SPEAKERto actually develop the vaccine that treats this.

19:19SPEAKERIt will be interesting to see how effective it is

19:21SPEAKERover a larger pool of population,

19:27SPEAKERbecause this is for melanoma,

19:28SPEAKERthere's a pretty significant population

19:32SPEAKERthat they could trial this with over a long period of time.

19:36SPEAKERBecause I think there's something like

19:38SPEAKERalmost half a million cases of melanoma a year.

19:43SPEAKERSo this could yield some just really interesting results

19:48SPEAKERabout how effective these personalized therapies can be.

19:52SPEAKERI'm not like bringing enough like juice and energy

19:54SPEAKERfor how exciting this stuff is.

19:56SPEAKERLike we don't, like we just don't get treatments

20:00SPEAKERthat are this meaningful and effective.

20:04SPEAKERLike, because we are mostly talking about like cures

20:08SPEAKERor essentially like reducing risk

20:11SPEAKERto the point of remission for the melanoma.

20:17SPEAKER- What?

20:18SPEAKER- Yeah, so this is the first of those.

20:20SPEAKERI know that there are other trials ongoing

20:23SPEAKERfor like pancreatic cancer and some other,

20:25SPEAKERthere's a specific type of cancer

20:29SPEAKERthat seems to respond well to this,

20:31SPEAKERthat you can rewire the immune system

20:33SPEAKERto go after the tumor cells.

20:37SPEAKERBut yeah, I thought this was, this seems like magic

20:40SPEAKERand you know, it's science magic,

20:43SPEAKERwhich is the best kind of magic 'cause it's real.

20:47SPEAKER- I feel like I'm in that bad scene in the Thor movie

20:50SPEAKERwhere they're like magic and science are the same thing.

20:52SPEAKEROh no.

20:53SPEAKER- I mean, look, yeah, Thor wasn't the first one

20:57SPEAKERwho said that 'cause sure.

20:59SPEAKER- What?

21:00SPEAKER- Yeah, yeah, wasn't that an Arthur Clark one originally?

21:04SPEAKER- Yes, I know it was Arthur Clark.

21:06SPEAKERI just wanna be shocked that like Chris Hemsworth

21:09SPEAKERdidn't originate this incredible line

21:12SPEAKERabout science and magic.

21:13SPEAKER- I wish I could do a Chris Hemsworth voice

21:15SPEAKER'cause right now I would be like,

21:16SPEAKERyeah, actually, yeah, 'cause that was an ad lib.

21:19SPEAKER- I wanna be innocent again.

21:21SPEAKERAll right, one more bummer story

21:23SPEAKERbefore we talk about some fun stuff.

21:24SPEAKER- We haven't had any bummer stories so far.

21:26SPEAKERThey've all been good stories so far,

21:27SPEAKERbut we do have a bummer now, sorry.

21:29SPEAKER- Yeah, okay, now we have a bummer story.

21:32SPEAKERIt was the hottest year on record again.

21:34SPEAKER- Woo!

21:35SPEAKER- We did it. - Oh wait, is that good or bad?

21:37SPEAKER- We did it, everybody.

21:38SPEAKERIt was 0.23C warmer than the average summer this year.

21:46SPEAKERAnd when we say average summer,

21:48SPEAKERthey always look at the summer in the Northern hemisphere.

21:52SPEAKERSo generally like June through August.

21:55SPEAKERAnd so it was about 0.23C warmer than the average summer

21:58SPEAKERgoing back to the mid '80s.

22:01SPEAKERIt's about 1.2C warmer if you take the average summer

22:04SPEAKERbasically from the early 20th century forward.

22:09SPEAKERAnd we saw some pretty spectacular ramifications

22:12SPEAKERof this warming this year with the wildfires in Canada

22:15SPEAKERand Hawaii and well, given where we live, I think,

22:18SPEAKERand going through wildfires in previous seasons,

22:21SPEAKERI have a lot of empathy for people in those areas.

22:25SPEAKERHawaii, we saw an entire town obliterated by a wildfire

22:29SPEAKERin one of the most sad sequences of this year.

22:34SPEAKERSo the ramifications are real.

22:36SPEAKER- Well, and it's one of those things,

22:38SPEAKERit's one of those things that there's a temptation

22:41SPEAKERto be like, oh, our fires were worse in California

22:43SPEAKERor our fires are worse in Canada or whatever.

22:45SPEAKERThe thing is it's all the same fires.

22:48SPEAKERLike we're literally all having the same climate disaster.

22:51SPEAKERIt's the fires in Canada, the fires in California

22:53SPEAKERthree years ago, the fires in the Northwest last year,

22:57SPEAKERthe fires in Hawaii this year, they're all the same fires

23:00SPEAKERand it's just gonna keep getting worse.

23:02SPEAKERSo that's fun.

23:04SPEAKER- Yeah, so I saw, I became aware of this kind of emerging

23:10SPEAKERframework for looking at risk to our biosphere.

23:15SPEAKERThat takes climate into account and kind of puts it

23:17SPEAKERin a context, some of the things,

23:19SPEAKERwhere we should prioritize our efforts.

23:22SPEAKERThis is called the nine boundaries framework.

23:25SPEAKERIt was developed by a Swedish scientist

23:28SPEAKERand their team, Johan Rockström.

23:32SPEAKERI think it was in 2009, he developed this

23:35SPEAKERand he was like looking at nine basic threats

23:39SPEAKERto our biosphere, to like life existing on this planet.

23:44SPEAKERAnd evaluating by various modeling where we are

23:50SPEAKERin like sort of a risk pool with this.

23:52SPEAKERAnd so this was looking at stuff like ozone depletion,

23:57SPEAKERaerosols in the atmosphere, ocean acidification,

24:00SPEAKERclimate change as we've been talking about it,

24:02SPEAKERlike greenhouse gases, that kind of stuff.

24:06SPEAKERBiological diversity, how we're changing our land use,

24:10SPEAKERavailability of fresh water, how nitrogen and phosphorus

24:15SPEAKERare flowing through our geochemical landscape

24:19SPEAKERbecause that affects like how we can produce food.

24:22SPEAKERAnd it started to sort of create risk maps,

24:26SPEAKERlike heat maps of how much risk we have in this.

24:29SPEAKERIn some areas we're doing really well.

24:31SPEAKEROzone acidification is still in this kind of manageable zone

24:35SPEAKERwhere it's not massively threatening life at a scale

24:41SPEAKERthat could lead to biosphere collapse.

24:43SPEAKERHey, one for us.

24:44SPEAKER- Right, we're not filled with jellyfish yet.

24:47SPEAKER- Yeah, exactly.

24:49SPEAKERAnd then at the same time, there's stuff happening

24:52SPEAKERlike on the mass extinction that's happening

24:56SPEAKERand we're losing genetic diversity at an alarming rate.

24:59SPEAKERThose sort of off the scale bad

25:01SPEAKERthat we don't often talk about.

25:03SPEAKERAnd so while climate change is bad,

25:05SPEAKERwe're also seeing some problems in like nitrogen

25:08SPEAKERand phosphorus slowly flowing out of our soils.

25:14SPEAKERAnd we're seeing this sort of massive loss of genetic

25:16SPEAKERdiversity that kind of puts into like relief

25:20SPEAKERwhere we should be emphasizing our time and investment.

25:25SPEAKERAnd so there's this exceptional set of graphs

25:27SPEAKERand illustrations that really put out

25:30SPEAKERthis nine boundaries thing.

25:31SPEAKERIt helped me really think about what the priorities are

25:35SPEAKERahead and as there's a new study out every couple of weeks

25:39SPEAKERon climate change and these existential threats,

25:43SPEAKERit also kind of helped me sort of focus

25:45SPEAKERwhere I should put my attention and energy.

25:48SPEAKER- So where are you focusing your attention

25:50SPEAKERand energy, Kishore?

25:52SPEAKER- So I think we don't talk enough

25:54SPEAKERabout the loss of genetic diversity.

25:56SPEAKERAnd so protection of like habitats for species

26:00SPEAKERand not just like the cute ones.

26:02SPEAKERLike we have to talk about all sorts of like bugs

26:05SPEAKERand other insects.

26:06SPEAKERSo that kind of eco sub system level maintenance.

26:10SPEAKERI think that one is under discussed

26:14SPEAKERand needs to be the more focus put on.

26:18SPEAKERClimate change is still like a thing

26:21SPEAKERthat we have to talk about.

26:25SPEAKERI think like there's an increasing need for us to talk

26:30SPEAKERabout pollutants that we're putting into the environment,

26:33SPEAKERlike micro plastics, certain kinds of human made

26:40SPEAKERjust sort of like polluting the environment.

26:42SPEAKERLike it's called novel entities in this framework.

26:46SPEAKERI think we should put even more attention

26:48SPEAKERon how we clean that stuff up.

26:52SPEAKERI think those are the ones where that struck me as like,

26:55SPEAKERoh, we don't like put enough attention on us

26:58SPEAKERbecause we're talking about really warming

27:00SPEAKERof the planet more so than some of these other effects

27:04SPEAKERthat are all interconnected.

27:05SPEAKERBut it kind of gave me a little bit of pause.

27:08SPEAKER- Yeah, so I'll put a link to the graph in the show notes

27:13SPEAKERso people can find it.

27:14SPEAKERBut it's interesting 'cause like,

27:16SPEAKERhey, shout outs to the ozone depletion.

27:18SPEAKERWe solved that one.

27:20SPEAKERNice job everybody.

27:21SPEAKER- We did it.

27:22SPEAKER- But it's an interesting thing to think about

27:25SPEAKERbecause we literally, I guess it was an easier problem

27:28SPEAKER'cause there was a unilateral solution stop shipping CFCs,

27:32SPEAKERwhich we agreed to do as a species in the '80s.

27:35SPEAKERAnd now that problem is essentially solved.

27:37SPEAKERLike I think we're seeing that stuff as less of an issue.

27:42SPEAKERThe ozone holes are, I don't know what the opposite

27:45SPEAKERdepleted is restocked, repleted.

27:50SPEAKERYeah, so the thing to me is that,

27:54SPEAKERso the genetic diversity is clearly,

27:58SPEAKERwe're in a moment, a bad moment with genetic diversity.

28:01SPEAKERBut also if the climate continues to heat up

28:03SPEAKERat the current rate,

28:04SPEAKERthen if the planet continues to heat up at the current rate,

28:06SPEAKERthen the genetic diversity is gonna get even worse

28:09SPEAKERbecause the things that can survive.

28:12SPEAKERLook, this is the year I learned

28:14SPEAKERabout wet bulb temperatures

28:15SPEAKERand it's kind of haunted me since then.

28:17SPEAKERSo yeah, it seems like you have a big long-term problem

28:24SPEAKERthat's coming out, it's like a freight train,

28:26SPEAKERand then a bunch of also big, but slightly smaller

28:28SPEAKERdifferent scale problems that maybe there's more

28:33SPEAKERpressing action we can take, I guess,

28:34SPEAKERwhich is the interesting thing about this chart.

28:36SPEAKER- Hey, it's all interconnected.

28:38SPEAKERSo I'm not suggesting otherwise,

28:40SPEAKERbut I think I'm into this term that you've developed now.

28:45SPEAKEROzone repletion?

28:47SPEAKER- Repletion?

28:48SPEAKER- Yeah, we're just gonna replete the planet

28:51SPEAKERwith genetic diversity.

28:53SPEAKER- That sounds very creepy.

28:54SPEAKERNow I take that back, I take that back.

28:56SPEAKERThat sounds very, very bad.

28:59SPEAKER- Well, dockers are coming back,

29:00SPEAKERso the pleats are back to Kishore.

29:02SPEAKER- Dockers are not coming back.

29:03SPEAKER- No, dockers aren't coming back, we're good.

29:05SPEAKERWe're fine, everything's cool. - That can't be real.

29:08SPEAKER- You know what is coming back though?

29:09SPEAKERYou know what's never been hotter is the moon.

29:12SPEAKER- Oh, so hot.

29:13SPEAKER- Well, just one side it turns out.

29:15SPEAKER- We are back in like a moon race all of a sudden,

29:18SPEAKERand it's not just like, hey, let's all go to the moon.

29:22SPEAKERIt's like moon on a budget is happening.

29:25SPEAKER- I like a cheap moon.

29:26SPEAKER- I wanna give a shout out

29:27SPEAKERto the Indian Space Research Organization, ISRO,

29:32SPEAKERwhich landed a mission on the moon

29:35SPEAKERat the Lunar South Pole, Chindrayan 3.

29:40SPEAKERI did not think this was gonna happen,

29:42SPEAKERpartially because Chindrayan 2

29:44SPEAKERhad one of the most spectacular crashes

29:48SPEAKERon the moon in 2019.

29:49SPEAKER- Oh, that's the one that just hammered in at full speed,

29:52SPEAKERbasically, right?

29:53SPEAKER- Well, it had kind of an explosion.

29:56SPEAKERIt wasn't great, but they put together this mission,

30:00SPEAKERwhich included like an orbit of the moon

30:04SPEAKERand then a lander, the Vikram lander,

30:06SPEAKERwhich actually landed at the Lunar South Pole.

30:09SPEAKERThe total budget was somewhere between 60 and $90 million.

30:12SPEAKERThat is like nothing in like the grand scheme

30:16SPEAKERof sending something to the moon.

30:19SPEAKERAnd there's just this incredible scene.

30:23SPEAKERLike the live stream,

30:24SPEAKERI think there was like 10 million people

30:26SPEAKERthat ended up watching it.

30:28SPEAKERIt's a huge moment of like national pride.

30:31SPEAKERThis is the first time a country outside of China

30:35SPEAKERhas landed something on the moon in like 50 years almost.

30:40SPEAKERAnd Russia has been trying to do this

30:44SPEAKERand hasn't had a successful mission for landing.

30:47SPEAKERObviously we announced the Artemis mission

30:50SPEAKERto go back to the moon.

30:52SPEAKERSo there's stuff happening,

30:54SPEAKERbut just to see this done in a way that was like cheap,

31:00SPEAKERis that the wrong word here?

31:02SPEAKER- Like, look, I'm trying to do the math.

31:04SPEAKERIt's like less than a 10th of an Artemis flight, right?

31:08SPEAKER'Cause they're a billion and a half each or something.

31:10SPEAKERSo yeah, like we sent an Artemis capsule

31:14SPEAKERand it just circled the moon for a little bit

31:15SPEAKERand then came back and that cost way more

31:19SPEAKERthan 60 to $90 million.

31:21SPEAKER- Turns out when you try to send like humans places,

31:25SPEAKERit gets expensive.

31:28SPEAKER- Like Chris Roberts has spent four of these missions

31:30SPEAKERmaking his space game.

31:37SPEAKERRecording these early in the morning is a problem.

31:42SPEAKER- It is Robert's star citizen, sorry.

31:46SPEAKERYeah, he spent hundreds of millions of dollars

31:48SPEAKERmaking star citizen.

31:49SPEAKERHe could have gone to the actual moon for that.

31:52SPEAKER- Yeah.

31:53SPEAKER- He hired the right people.

31:56SPEAKER- And you could have had an awesome live stream

31:59SPEAKERand they were gonna do some like sampling of soil there

32:05SPEAKERwith the Vikram lander and stuff.

32:07SPEAKERI just think it's like such a win and it makes me have,

32:10SPEAKERand like the, I don't know why this makes me happy.

32:13SPEAKERI always loved like the view into like mission control

32:16SPEAKERcenters when space landings are happening.

32:19SPEAKERThe Indian one is so chaotic.

32:21SPEAKERThere's like a million people in there for some reason.

32:23SPEAKERAnd all these like uncles and aunties are just like

32:25SPEAKERhaving the time of their lives.

32:27SPEAKERIt's really like uplifting and wonderful.

32:30SPEAKER- That's so cool.

32:31SPEAKER(upbeat music)

32:35SPEAKEROkay, Kishore, there was also kind of some science woo

32:39SPEAKERthis year for lack of a better term.

32:41SPEAKER- Yeah, Will, what would you say if I just told you

32:45SPEAKERI've invented a room temperature superconductor?

32:48SPEAKERIt just works.

32:49SPEAKER- Look, I would probably just be like,

32:50SPEAKERtake your word for it and write a whole bunch of news

32:53SPEAKERstories and put it on like the nightly news about how it's

32:55SPEAKERgonna revolutionize computing and the power grid

32:58SPEAKERand solve all of our energy problems.

33:01SPEAKERMaybe talk about new motor designs.

33:03SPEAKERProbably I'd ask Elon Musk and see what he thinks.

33:06SPEAKERAnd I definitely wouldn't try to replicate that

33:10SPEAKERor run it through some sort of a vetting process

33:14SPEAKERor anything like that though.

33:16SPEAKER- For those that have forgotten about this,

33:18SPEAKERthe one week where room temperature superconductors

33:21SPEAKERruled the internet, two South Korean scientists

33:25SPEAKERpublished a preprint claiming they had with a new compound

33:31SPEAKERcalled LK99 achieved room temperature superconductivity.

33:35SPEAKERIt was at what they claimed 104 degrees Celsius,

33:39SPEAKERwhich is pretty chill on the grand scheme of thing.

33:44SPEAKERThis LK99 is a lead copper complex.

33:49SPEAKERAnd this complex was essentially they infused copper

33:52SPEAKERinto this lead based mineral.

33:56SPEAKERThe complications here is that the structure of this mineral

34:01SPEAKERis polycrystalline, so it's not like a one crystal structure

34:07SPEAKERthroughout and so it's prone to all sorts of contamination

34:12SPEAKERor misshapen kind of development of this complex.

34:17SPEAKERSo when they claimed they had developed this particular

34:20SPEAKERcomplex, people were like, wait a minute,

34:24SPEAKERis this like actually a consistent thing

34:26SPEAKERor are you getting just weird behavior because you don't

34:28SPEAKERhave this homogenous superconductor.

34:32SPEAKERPeople tried to replicate this in the weeks to come

34:35SPEAKERand basically found that it didn't work.

34:38SPEAKERBut the crazy thing about LK99 is how one thread

34:43SPEAKERon Twitter from this one like amateur physicist

34:47SPEAKERwent completely viral and people are like, we've done it.

34:50SPEAKERPeople have done it, we've achieved it.

34:53SPEAKERWe have made a room temperature superconductor

34:56SPEAKERand then all sorts of weirdness started coming out

34:58SPEAKERfrom the scientists.

34:59SPEAKERIt was one of those like we have solved the world's

35:03SPEAKERenergy problems to no we didn't in a span of 48 hours.

35:08SPEAKERIt was thrilling.

35:09SPEAKER- It was, yeah, it was a real journey.

35:12SPEAKERIt reminded me a lot of the Time or Newsweek story

35:15SPEAKERabout cold fusion in like 1989 when some folks at I think

35:20SPEAKERUtah were like, hey, we got room temperature fusion

35:23SPEAKERhappening over here, just get your flying cars ready.

35:26SPEAKERWe got the energy sources, we're gonna make this happen

35:29SPEAKERand then like nobody could repeat the work

35:31SPEAKERand it turned out to be complete woo.

35:33SPEAKER- My favorite was I saw a scientist of like quote, tweet,

35:39SPEAKERthe initial thread and it was like, sure.

35:41SPEAKER(laughing)

35:45SPEAKERThat was it.

35:46SPEAKER- This is the thing I miss about Twitter.

35:48SPEAKERI miss these conversations and these interactions.

35:52SPEAKERDamn you, Elon Musk.

35:53SPEAKERAnyway, so what's gonna like, nothing's happened.

35:57SPEAKERNothing's happening with this.

35:58SPEAKERIt's all like, yeah, it's not a real thing.

36:01SPEAKER- It's not a real thing.

36:03SPEAKERThere is a lot of contamination probably

36:05SPEAKERin their experiment.

36:06SPEAKERLike we don't think that there is sort of malfeasance here

36:10SPEAKERor anything else like that.

36:11SPEAKERAnd just like an experiment that wasn't controlled

36:15SPEAKERin a way that accounted for like all sorts of contamination

36:18SPEAKERand other effects within this.

36:21SPEAKERSo it was like, it was an interesting idea to try.

36:24SPEAKERAnd so it was fine.

36:25SPEAKERIt's partially, it was like the hype train

36:28SPEAKERaround like a non peer reviewed paper,

36:31SPEAKERgetting out of control is really the story.

36:33SPEAKER- I was gonna say, this is like,

36:35SPEAKERis this the downside of like using archive

36:38SPEAKERinstead of doing the normal peer review process?

36:40SPEAKER'Cause like if they had submitted this to nature,

36:42SPEAKERthey would have not published a pre-print for it, right?

36:46SPEAKER- I think that's too like too far

36:49SPEAKERbecause like they didn't like release this paper

36:52SPEAKERon the pre-print server and then have like a press conference

36:55SPEAKERwhere they're like, we did it.

36:56SPEAKERThey like release it in this pre-print server to like,

36:59SPEAKERshow to other scientists and like publishing the work early

37:02SPEAKERis critical for things, especially like this,

37:05SPEAKERwhere you try to come up with validation,

37:07SPEAKERyou need to see the formulation.

37:09SPEAKERNow they weren't super forthcoming about like

37:12SPEAKERhow they made this and the methods

37:14SPEAKERand all of that kind of stuff.

37:15SPEAKERThat's a separate conversation.

37:18SPEAKERBut it was really like somebody else going on there

37:21SPEAKERand being like, this is it everybody, we've done it.

37:25SPEAKERThat turned it into a crazy moment.

37:27SPEAKERAnd it's this tension between like,

37:30SPEAKERthe old information wanting to be free adage

37:34SPEAKERand like actors acting badly with information.

37:39SPEAKER- This is the science equivalent of those people

37:41SPEAKERthat watch patent filings and look for an Apple patent.

37:44SPEAKERThey're like, okay, I got the next iPhone here.

37:46SPEAKERThree years from now, they're gonna have a folding one.

37:48SPEAKERIt folds twice, it turns into a little square

37:50SPEAKERand you put in your pocket

37:51SPEAKERand then it's the size of a refrigerator.

37:53SPEAKER- Yeah, I think it happens.

37:55SPEAKERI chuckle about it, the whole thing.

37:59SPEAKERI thought it was hilarious, which leads me into like

38:03SPEAKERsome of the stories that brought me

38:04SPEAKERthe most delight this year.

38:06SPEAKER- Yeah.

38:08SPEAKER- And I'll start out by just saying like,

38:10SPEAKERIberian orca whales, just like huge thumbs up for me.

38:14SPEAKERBecause earlier this year, a set of Iberian orcas

38:19SPEAKERin the Strait of Gibraltar were just like a few boats

38:23SPEAKERand started ramming rudders on fishing ships in the area.

38:28SPEAKERAnd they started sinking boats.

38:29SPEAKERAnd at this point, we still don't know why

38:33SPEAKERthis started happening.

38:35SPEAKEROne scientist suggested that one of the orcas

38:39SPEAKERhad a bad experience with another boat

38:43SPEAKERand likely informed other orcas in some way

38:46SPEAKERabout this bad experience

38:48SPEAKERleading to this sort of pack behavior.

38:50SPEAKER- Wow.

38:51SPEAKER- There's a slight downside to this

38:52SPEAKERin the sense that an open letter was published

38:55SPEAKERby a series of marine biologists in the wake of this

38:58SPEAKERsaying like, this is very funny.

39:01SPEAKERLike acknowledging just how this sort of

39:03SPEAKERlit up the internet.

39:04SPEAKERBut at the same time, they're like,

39:06SPEAKERthere will be reprisals against these orcas

39:08SPEAKERif this kind of stuff continues.

39:10SPEAKERThese are people's livelihood, these boats and stuff.

39:14SPEAKERAnd they're really worried that action will be taken

39:17SPEAKERagainst these orcas.

39:18SPEAKERAnd we're also anthropomorphizing these orcas pretty quickly.

39:22SPEAKERWe're like, oh yeah, some fishermen pissed them off

39:25SPEAKERand that's why they're hitting this.

39:26SPEAKERIt's not exactly how their mind works.

39:30SPEAKERSo we have to be cautious about that.

39:32SPEAKERBut also like, F them boats.

39:34SPEAKER- Yeah, I mean look, the billionaires don't pay their taxes.

39:36SPEAKERTheir yachts are gonna take the punishment.

39:38SPEAKERThat's what the orcas say.

39:40SPEAKERAnd I for one, welcome our new orca overlords.

39:44SPEAKER- I'm with you.

39:45SPEAKER- The thing about the orcas sharing knowledge

39:47SPEAKERbetween pods of orcas is the,

39:49SPEAKER'cause the other thing that came out this year

39:51SPEAKERis that they, the way they hunt,

39:54SPEAKERthe way they hunt great white sharks is fascinating.

39:57SPEAKERApparently orcas love the taste of great white shark liver.

39:59SPEAKERAnd if they know that if they bite them in the right spot,

40:02SPEAKERthey can just suck the liver right out of them.

40:04SPEAKERWhich is horrifying and nightmarish,

40:08SPEAKERbut also kind of amazing.

40:09SPEAKERAnd like A, it's affecting the shark migrations,

40:14SPEAKERit seems like, 'cause the knowledge of how to do this

40:18SPEAKERhas spread from orca pod to orca pod

40:20SPEAKERaround the world in the last couple of years.

40:22SPEAKERSo the war between the sharks and the orcas continues,

40:25SPEAKERI guess.

40:26SPEAKERMaybe the boats are just an innocent bystander.

40:29SPEAKER(laughing)

40:30SPEAKER- Oh, those poor boats.

40:31SPEAKERWhat will they ever do?

40:32SPEAKER- Well, why will no one think of the super yachts, Kishore?

40:35SPEAKER(laughing)

40:36SPEAKER- You know what we haven't done yet?

40:38SPEAKER- No.

40:39SPEAKER- We have a math story.

40:41SPEAKER- I love math.

40:42SPEAKER- We usually have a great math story.

40:43SPEAKERDo you have a good one for us?

40:45SPEAKER- Well, so okay, so non-repeating tiles

40:48SPEAKERare like a math nerd thing that math nerds around the world

40:51SPEAKERhave loved to think about for a long time.

40:53SPEAKERAnd for a long time, the idea was to find,

40:57SPEAKERwhat's the smallest number of tiles you can devise

41:00SPEAKERthat will let you create a non-repeating pattern

41:02SPEAKERinfinitely over an infinite plane.

41:05SPEAKERAnd previously, I think for a long time,

41:08SPEAKERyears and years ago,

41:09SPEAKERthis is a problem from the '50s or '60s,

41:11SPEAKERsomebody came up with a set of like 30,000 tiles,

41:14SPEAKER25,000 tiles that you can use

41:17SPEAKERand find a completely non-repeating pattern.

41:19SPEAKERThis shows up as a bit

41:21SPEAKERin Neal Stephenson's "An Anthem" book briefly.

41:24SPEAKERLike it's the kind of thing that like I filed away

41:26SPEAKERin the back of my mind for a long time.

41:29SPEAKERThe current record as of last year

41:31SPEAKERwas a set of two different tile shapes

41:34SPEAKERthat you could tile infinitely

41:35SPEAKERand not have a repeating pattern.

41:37SPEAKER- Yeah, I will say for those that are like,

41:40SPEAKERwhat are they talking about?

41:42SPEAKERIf you like rewind to like high school mathematics,

41:46SPEAKERthere'll be this idea of like Penrose tiling

41:50SPEAKERthat will come up and it's named after Roger Penrose.

41:53SPEAKERHe's a famous mathematician/theoretical physicist

41:57SPEAKERwho modeled a lot of black hole behavior.

41:59SPEAKERHe won the Nobel Prize for his work on black holes in 2020.

42:03SPEAKERAnd he was trying to see if he could have a non-repeating

42:07SPEAKERpattern of tiles to cover a space

42:10SPEAKERto help explain like some of the black hole morphology

42:14SPEAKERor topology, excuse me.

42:16SPEAKERAnd Penrose tiles became like a high school

42:20SPEAKERkind of high school math problem that we'd often see.

42:24SPEAKERAnd these set of tiles, if you like Google Penrose tile,

42:27SPEAKERyou'll probably like bring up a memory for you

42:30SPEAKERof these non-repeating tiles covering a space.

42:33SPEAKER- It turns out.

42:34SPEAKER- Yeah, oh yeah, we might be too old.

42:35SPEAKER- We're too old for sure, yeah.

42:39SPEAKER- But this idea of like an infinite number

42:43SPEAKERof non-repeating tiles is like totally wild to me

42:47SPEAKERthat they're able to like actually figure this out.

42:50SPEAKER- It's an absolutely nightmare.

42:52SPEAKERAnd the amazing thing about this,

42:53SPEAKERI'm actually pulling up the article right now,

42:55SPEAKERbut the amazing thing about it is it wasn't like some

42:58SPEAKERheavy duty mathematician who figured this out.

43:00SPEAKERIt was actually a retiree who likes math.

43:05SPEAKERAnd he, aperiodic tiling is the problem,

43:08SPEAKERis the name of the problem.

43:09SPEAKERThe guy's name is David Smith.

43:11SPEAKERAnd his Wikipedia entry says

43:13SPEAKERDavid Smith parentheses hobbyist.

43:15SPEAKERHe was a retired print technician from England

43:18SPEAKERwho discovered basically a 13 sided polygon

43:24SPEAKERthat can be tiled infinitely with no repeating patterns.

43:30SPEAKERIt's a single shape, not just as a single shape,

43:33SPEAKERit's built out of hexagons,

43:35SPEAKERso the angles are all three different, three specific angles

43:38SPEAKERand the further work that came from his initial shape

43:43SPEAKERshows that he's discovered a whole class of shapes

43:46SPEAKERthat can be aperiodically tiled to infinitely.

43:50SPEAKERSo yeah, it's a whole new period of tile math.

43:53SPEAKERNow the place that I'm disappointed, I'm gonna say,

43:56SPEAKERwhen I was reading about this the other day,

43:58SPEAKERthe first thing I found is that I can go download SVGs

44:02SPEAKERfrom my laser cutter right now

44:03SPEAKERand cut all the aperiodic Einstein tiles.

44:06SPEAKERJust to be clear, Einstein is the German for one stone

44:10SPEAKERor not named after Albert Einstein in this case,

44:14SPEAKER'cause it's one tile that you can tile infinitely.

44:17SPEAKERSo I can cut on the laser cutter

44:20SPEAKERall the Einstein tiles I want.

44:23SPEAKERNobody is yet making Einstein tiles for my bathroom floor.

44:27SPEAKERThat's the yet.

44:30SPEAKER- Yet is the key word there.

44:31SPEAKER- Yeah, that's the final frontier as far as I'm concerned.

44:33SPEAKERI want aperiodic tiling in my house.

44:36SPEAKER- Oh, that's an amazing idea.

44:38SPEAKER- Right.

44:39SPEAKER- Well, this is the end of "Brad and Will Make a Tech Pod"

44:42SPEAKERas Will has embarked on a new career.

44:47SPEAKERAll of a sudden, you're off the coast of Spain

44:50SPEAKERin your billionaire tile-funded yacht

44:53SPEAKERand orcas are attacking you.

44:54SPEAKERThat's what the future holds.

44:55SPEAKER- I don't know if you know how much money

44:58SPEAKERtile makers generally make, sure,

45:00SPEAKERbut I don't think it's yacht money, probably.

45:02SPEAKERIt's definitely not something

45:02SPEAKERthat your orca would care about.

45:05SPEAKER- I want to believe.

45:07SPEAKERI'll put a link to a story about David Smith in the Discord.

45:12SPEAKER- David Smith, hobbyist?

45:13SPEAKER- Yeah, David Smith, hobbyist, looks the part,

45:16SPEAKERI will just say.

45:17SPEAKERI don't wanna stereotype how hobbyists look.

45:19SPEAKERThis guy looks like a full-on hobbyist

45:22SPEAKERand I couldn't be more proud

45:23SPEAKERbecause it really illustrates

45:26SPEAKERthat maybe I have the ability

45:28SPEAKERto become a Kishore Hari hobbyist on Wikipedia.

45:31SPEAKERThat's a life goal.

45:32SPEAKER- I just love that there's still room

45:36SPEAKERfor somebody who's just an enthusiast

45:38SPEAKERto download a piece of software

45:39SPEAKERand solve a hard math problem that's 60 years old.

45:43SPEAKERThat's amazing.

45:45SPEAKER- I love it.

45:46SPEAKERSo we have one last story to kinda end

45:48SPEAKERthat I think is so fun,

45:50SPEAKERlike building off of what we talked about last year.

45:53SPEAKERWe talked a lot about DeepMind's AlphaFold project,

45:57SPEAKERwhich was an AI tool to predict all the structures

46:02SPEAKERof proteins in the human body.

46:04SPEAKERAnd they predicted six to 700 million structures.

46:08SPEAKERAnd AI and science has iterated in enormous ways this year.

46:12SPEAKER- I think it's not woo, it's a good thing.

46:14SPEAKER- It's not woo, but it's also not quite reality,

46:18SPEAKERbut AlphaFold's a great example of it.

46:20SPEAKERSo it's like, now we have all these predictions of proteins.

46:23SPEAKERWhat do you do with that?

46:24SPEAKERAnd so what they did is they released a new tool this year

46:27SPEAKERcalled Alpha Missense.

46:29SPEAKERMissense mutations are these genetic mutations

46:32SPEAKERwhere one amino acid is substituted for another in your body

46:37SPEAKERand it causes big ramifications

46:38SPEAKERfor proteins that are produced.

46:41SPEAKERAnd oftentimes these have tremendous consequences

46:45SPEAKERon human health.

46:45SPEAKERThey lead to like epilepsies, major kinda conditions

46:49SPEAKERbecause you have the wrong protein produced

46:51SPEAKERor no protein produced,

46:52SPEAKERthen like certain functions of the body just don't happen.

46:55SPEAKERSo these mutations are really important.

46:57SPEAKERSo they took all this information about how proteins fold

47:01SPEAKERand basically then turned that into,

47:03SPEAKERlet's look at all the possible missense mutations

47:06SPEAKERthat can happen in the human body

47:08SPEAKERbased off of that information

47:10SPEAKERand then predict based on the information we have

47:12SPEAKERand how the proteins fold,

47:14SPEAKERwhich ones are gonna be pathogenic,

47:16SPEAKERwhich ones are gonna be benign

47:17SPEAKERand which ones we're just like don't really know

47:19SPEAKERbased on what we see.

47:21SPEAKERAnd they released this tool

47:23SPEAKERand then there's all this like clinical data

47:25SPEAKERthey compared it to.

47:26SPEAKERAnd there's these places where this tool basically

47:28SPEAKERhas disagreement with the clinical data that is like exciting

47:32SPEAKER'cause now we can like explore

47:34SPEAKERwhat is this disagreement about?

47:36SPEAKERIs this an area that we weren't thinking about before

47:38SPEAKERand a mutation we have to really pay attention to?

47:41SPEAKERSo we're seeing AI make that leap

47:44SPEAKERfrom using these large data sets

47:47SPEAKERinto like actual digestible information

47:49SPEAKERthat's informing scientific experiments really quickly.

47:53SPEAKERThat's a span of six months that that happened.

47:56SPEAKER- So it's interesting 'cause the application

47:57SPEAKERis the thing that machine learning is for, right?

47:59SPEAKERLike instead of using it to generate legal opinions

48:03SPEAKERthat don't exist or make pictures of people

48:06SPEAKERdoing things that they never did,

48:08SPEAKERyou're actually sorting through a massive amount of data

48:10SPEAKERand finding things that are similar and weird.

48:13SPEAKER- Yes, but when you have powerful tools like that,

48:15SPEAKERyou can also design really weird, funky experiments.

48:20SPEAKER- Okay, I love a fun experiment.

48:21SPEAKER- So a team at UC Berkeley that was studying epilepsy,

48:26SPEAKERthey had 29 patients.

48:27SPEAKERAnd oftentimes when you're studying people

48:30SPEAKERwith a neurodevelopmental or neuro mechanical problems,

48:35SPEAKERyou'll use MRI imaging and have them perform a task

48:39SPEAKERwhile you're inside this MRI.

48:40SPEAKERI've done this for some like cognitive neuroscience stuff.

48:43SPEAKERYou like just sit inside the giant magnet

48:46SPEAKERand there's a screen above you

48:48SPEAKERthat usually give you a series of questions or tasks.

48:51SPEAKERIn this one, which was designed by the night lab

48:54SPEAKERat UC Berkeley, they played a sound clip

48:58SPEAKERto the people that had this condition.

49:00SPEAKERThere was also some controls in there

49:02SPEAKERand then recorded a brain scan.

49:04SPEAKERAnd then they used an AI algorithm

49:09SPEAKERto actually model out and reconstruct

49:11SPEAKERbased off the neuron behavior, what the song was.

49:15SPEAKERSo they basically played them a song,

49:17SPEAKERrecorded how the neurons were operating

49:20SPEAKERand then tried to use an algorithm

49:22SPEAKERto recreate that song from it.

49:25SPEAKER- Okay, I'm just gonna,

49:27SPEAKERthey took a picture of the person's brain

49:29SPEAKERwhile they were listening to the song

49:32SPEAKERand then they made the song back

49:33SPEAKERfrom the picture of the brain.

49:35SPEAKERSo it's like you're making a 3D model

49:37SPEAKERof something by looking at its shadow basically.

49:40SPEAKER- Yeah, except it's even more complicated than that.

49:42SPEAKER- Of course, yeah.

49:44SPEAKER- So this is wild.

49:45SPEAKERAnd then they released the audio

49:47SPEAKERof what they reconstructed based off this algorithm.

49:51SPEAKER- I'm guessing where it says, we'll play this clip.

49:53SPEAKERThis is where I play the clip probably?

49:54SPEAKER- Yeah.

49:55SPEAKER- Okay, I'm gonna play the clip right now.

49:56SPEAKER(soft music)

50:07SPEAKER(soft music)

50:11SPEAKER- Wow, that is a lot of like organs and harmonics

50:14SPEAKERand like I hear voices, but not really.

50:17SPEAKERIt's really weird.

50:18SPEAKER- Yeah, so there's a lot of bias in this algorithm

50:21SPEAKERbecause it's like, it's reconstructed.

50:23SPEAKERThe model they built has a little bit of bias in it

50:26SPEAKERin that they sort of tuned it for this situation.

50:31SPEAKERAnd it kind of sounds like a very low kilohertz

50:34SPEAKERlike rendition of a song.

50:36SPEAKER- This is a song you know, Will.

50:38SPEAKERIt's a fellow old like myself.

50:40SPEAKERYou've heard this song.

50:41SPEAKERDo you have any guesses on what the song?

50:43SPEAKER- I've listened to it like three times now.

50:47SPEAKER(humming)

50:50SPEAKERSomething go on.

50:54SPEAKER'Cause you're smiling.

50:56SPEAKER- You're not far off.

50:59SPEAKERIt's not go on.

51:00SPEAKERI will say it's the word they're saying there is wall,

51:05SPEAKERnot go on.

51:06SPEAKER- Oh, is it Pink Floyd's The Wall?

51:08SPEAKER- It's another brick in the wall part two.

51:10SPEAKERAnd like you can kind of hear once you like actually know

51:15SPEAKERthat that's a song they're recreating,

51:17SPEAKERyou can actually hear it.

51:18SPEAKER- It feels like a slow.

51:21SPEAKEROkay, so what if, you know what it sounds like?

51:23SPEAKERI mean, it'll be, you've heard it by now.

51:25SPEAKERIt sounds like when you used to download MIDI files

51:28SPEAKERin the nineties and you would play them

51:30SPEAKERon whatever bad MIDI stack your PC sound card had

51:33SPEAKERand like you'd flip it to like the organ

51:35SPEAKERand hall set up and then play it like half speed.

51:38SPEAKERAnd that's kind of where you end up.

51:41SPEAKERThat's a trip.

51:42SPEAKER- For all the silly stuff that AI is being used

51:45SPEAKERfor this year, I just wanna say there's equally interesting

51:50SPEAKERand weird applications and science going on

51:53SPEAKERthat make me smile.

51:54SPEAKERNow, do I think this is gonna lead

51:56SPEAKERto some revolutionary breakthrough

51:57SPEAKERor anything else like that?

51:59SPEAKERNo, but it's just kind of fun application of the technology.

52:04SPEAKER- Well, and there are, we didn't get, we had to,

52:07SPEAKERit was a hard cut to get to the list that we got

52:09SPEAKERfor this show.

52:10SPEAKERThere was some stuff that I didn't even put on the list

52:13SPEAKERthat people are doing with the vision research

52:15SPEAKERwhere they're taking like direct feed signals

52:18SPEAKERfrom optic nerves and turning them into pictures

52:20SPEAKERon screens and things like that.

52:22SPEAKERLike we're, there are things that are happening

52:25SPEAKERwith computers and machine learning and the brain

52:28SPEAKERthat don't involve killing thousands of monkeys

52:31SPEAKERthat are actually potentially impactful down the road.

52:34SPEAKERSo I, you know, maybe, we'll see.

52:37SPEAKER- This was a fun year of science again.

52:40SPEAKERThis wasn't as dynamic as some past years

52:44SPEAKERwhere we had some discoveries and developments

52:47SPEAKERthat just sort of blew the roof off.

52:49SPEAKERBut at the same time, like what a year.

52:52SPEAKERLike we were talking about like treatments

52:54SPEAKERfor obesity at scale, curing diseases,

52:59SPEAKERslamming stuff into the moon,

53:02SPEAKERorcas slamming into boats, like not a bad year.

53:05SPEAKER- Yeah, and I might get a new bathroom floor.

53:09SPEAKERKishore, thank you so much for coming by.

53:11SPEAKERWhere can people find you?

53:12SPEAKER- You know what, just find me on the Discord.

53:15SPEAKER- Yeah, you're there.

53:16SPEAKER- That's the place, yeah, that's the place to find me

53:18SPEAKERif you want my take on anything.

53:21SPEAKERJust a warning, you don't need my take on things,

53:23SPEAKERbut if you'd want one, I'm happy to deliver one.

53:27SPEAKER- The place that I love your take is to separate

53:29SPEAKERthe real science from the woo, Kishore.

53:32SPEAKERIt's always, always helpful.

53:34SPEAKER- I'm gonna just be exclusively in there

53:36SPEAKERtalking about tiling bathrooms and bidets from now on.

53:40SPEAKERBut I think that is my sweet spot.

53:41SPEAKER- What kind of grout do you like?

53:43SPEAKERYou like a sandy grout?

53:44SPEAKERYou like something a little more?

53:48SPEAKER- I'm definitely like a gray grout,

53:50SPEAKERlike the white grout, too much upkeep.

53:52SPEAKER- Yeah, look, I have to get the industrial,

53:56SPEAKERI have white grout in my tub.

53:57SPEAKERI have to get the industrial size jar of that goo

53:59SPEAKERthat you spray on and leave there for five hours

54:01SPEAKERto burn the mildew out.

54:03SPEAKERIt's awful.

54:05SPEAKER- All right, 2024, look for Will and Kishore's

54:09SPEAKERtiling company.

54:10SPEAKER- Yeah, and maybe we'll have to get you

54:12SPEAKERthat five-timer jacket.

54:13SPEAKERKishore, thank you so much for coming by.

54:14SPEAKERAnd that will do it for this week's edition of the TechPod.

54:17SPEAKERFor Brad Shoemaker, I'm Will Smith.

54:19SPEAKERThanks everybody for listening.

54:20SPEAKERAs always, Brad and Will Made a TechPod

54:23SPEAKERis a 100% listener-supported show.

54:25SPEAKERWe wouldn't be here without the kindness

54:28SPEAKERof our wonderful audience of people.

54:30SPEAKERIf you would like to find out how to support the show,

54:32SPEAKERyou can go to patreon.com/techpod.

54:35SPEAKERAgain, that's patreon.com/techpod,

54:37SPEAKERwhere for five bucks a month,

54:38SPEAKERyou get access to the fabulous TechPod Discord

54:41SPEAKERfull of a bunch of wonderful nerds

54:43SPEAKERwho are into many of the same things that you probably are.

54:46SPEAKERYou also get access to the monthly Patreon episode,

54:48SPEAKERwhere Brad and I talk about whatever we're working on,

54:51SPEAKERwhat we're thinking about, what we're excited about.

54:53SPEAKERThis may be outside the scope of the normal podcast.

54:55SPEAKERWith that, thank you as always to all of our patrons,

54:57SPEAKERbut a very special thank you

54:59SPEAKERgoes out to our executive producer tier patrons,

55:01SPEAKERincluding Nick Johnston,

55:04SPEAKERPaddle Creek Games Makers of Fractured Veil,

55:05SPEAKERAndrew Slosky, Jordan Lippett,

55:08SPEAKERBunnyfiend, the, or is that Bunnyfiend, the,

55:12SPEAKERThread Club supports Octothorpe Desks and Pets,

55:15SPEAKERJoel Krauska, Twinkle Twinkie, David Allen,

55:18SPEAKERJames Kamik, and Pantheon,

55:20SPEAKERmakers of the HS3 high-speed 3D printer.

55:23SPEAKERThank you all so much for your support,

55:24SPEAKERand we will see you all next week.

55:27SPEAKER(upbeat music)

55:54SPEAKER[BLANK_AUDIO]